Apexindo Pratama (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 133.21

APEX Stock  IDR 132.00  1.00  0.75%   
Apexindo Pratama's future price is the expected price of Apexindo Pratama instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Apexindo Pratama Duta performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Apexindo Pratama Backtesting, Apexindo Pratama Valuation, Apexindo Pratama Correlation, Apexindo Pratama Hype Analysis, Apexindo Pratama Volatility, Apexindo Pratama History as well as Apexindo Pratama Performance.
  
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Apexindo Pratama Target Price Odds to finish over 133.21

The tendency of Apexindo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  133.21  or more in 90 days
 132.00 90 days 133.21 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Apexindo Pratama to move over  133.21  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Apexindo Pratama Duta probability density function shows the probability of Apexindo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Apexindo Pratama Duta price to stay between its current price of  132.00  and  133.21  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Apexindo Pratama Duta has a beta of -1.01. This suggests Additionally Apexindo Pratama Duta has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Apexindo Pratama Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Apexindo Pratama

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Apexindo Pratama Duta. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
131.72134.00136.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.16118.44147.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
139.01141.30143.58
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
134.75137.36139.97
Details

Apexindo Pratama Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Apexindo Pratama is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Apexindo Pratama's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Apexindo Pratama Duta, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Apexindo Pratama within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.01
σ
Overall volatility
10.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Apexindo Pratama Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Apexindo Pratama for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Apexindo Pratama Duta can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apexindo Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Apexindo Pratama Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Apexindo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Apexindo Pratama's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Apexindo Pratama's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments13.5 M

Apexindo Pratama Technical Analysis

Apexindo Pratama's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Apexindo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Apexindo Pratama Duta. In general, you should focus on analyzing Apexindo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Apexindo Pratama Predictive Forecast Models

Apexindo Pratama's time-series forecasting models is one of many Apexindo Pratama's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Apexindo Pratama's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Apexindo Pratama Duta

Checking the ongoing alerts about Apexindo Pratama for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Apexindo Pratama Duta help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Apexindo Pratama generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Apexindo Stock

Apexindo Pratama financial ratios help investors to determine whether Apexindo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Apexindo with respect to the benefits of owning Apexindo Pratama security.