PF Atlantic (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.3

ATLA-DKK  DKK 1.95  0.01  0.51%   
PF Atlantic's future price is the expected price of PF Atlantic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PF Atlantic Petroleum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PF Atlantic Backtesting, PF Atlantic Valuation, PF Atlantic Correlation, PF Atlantic Hype Analysis, PF Atlantic Volatility, PF Atlantic History as well as PF Atlantic Performance.
  
Please specify PF Atlantic's target price for which you would like PF Atlantic odds to be computed.

PF Atlantic Target Price Odds to finish below 5.3

The tendency of ATLA-DKK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 5.30  after 90 days
 1.95 90 days 5.30 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PF Atlantic to stay under kr 5.30  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PF Atlantic Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of ATLA-DKK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PF Atlantic Petroleum price to stay between its current price of kr 1.95  and kr 5.30  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PF Atlantic Petroleum has a beta of -0.0338. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PF Atlantic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PF Atlantic Petroleum is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PF Atlantic Petroleum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PF Atlantic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PF Atlantic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PF Atlantic Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.955.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.112.115.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.935.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.962.052.14
Details

PF Atlantic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PF Atlantic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PF Atlantic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PF Atlantic Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PF Atlantic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.36
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.18
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

PF Atlantic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PF Atlantic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PF Atlantic Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PF Atlantic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PF Atlantic may become a speculative penny stock
PF Atlantic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
PF Atlantic has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
PF Atlantic Petroleum has accumulated 37.91 M in total debt. PF Atlantic Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PF Atlantic until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PF Atlantic's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PF Atlantic Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ATLA-DKK to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PF Atlantic's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
PF Atlantic Petroleum has accumulated about 7 K in cash with (3.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

PF Atlantic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ATLA-DKK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PF Atlantic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PF Atlantic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 M

PF Atlantic Technical Analysis

PF Atlantic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ATLA-DKK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PF Atlantic Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing ATLA-DKK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PF Atlantic Predictive Forecast Models

PF Atlantic's time-series forecasting models is one of many PF Atlantic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PF Atlantic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PF Atlantic Petroleum

Checking the ongoing alerts about PF Atlantic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PF Atlantic Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PF Atlantic generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PF Atlantic may become a speculative penny stock
PF Atlantic has high historical volatility and very poor performance
PF Atlantic has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
PF Atlantic Petroleum has accumulated 37.91 M in total debt. PF Atlantic Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.07, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist PF Atlantic until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, PF Atlantic's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like PF Atlantic Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for ATLA-DKK to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about PF Atlantic's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
PF Atlantic Petroleum has accumulated about 7 K in cash with (3.6 M) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in ATLA-DKK Stock

PF Atlantic financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATLA-DKK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATLA-DKK with respect to the benefits of owning PF Atlantic security.