Beachbody Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 20.35
| BODI Stock | 6.31 0.11 1.71% |
Beachbody |
Beachbody Target Price Odds to finish over 20.35
The tendency of Beachbody Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 20.35 or more in 90 days |
| 6.31 | 90 days | 20.35 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beachbody to move over 20.35 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Beachbody probability density function shows the probability of Beachbody Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beachbody price to stay between its current price of 6.31 and 20.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.27 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Beachbody has a beta of 0.81 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Beachbody average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Beachbody will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Beachbody has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Beachbody Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Beachbody
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beachbody. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Beachbody's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Beachbody Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beachbody is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beachbody's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beachbody, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beachbody within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Beachbody Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beachbody for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beachbody can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Beachbody had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Beachbody has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Beachbody was previously known as Bodyflight Sweden AB and was traded on Stockholm Exchange under the symbol BODY. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 527.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (152.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 369.57 M. | |
| Beachbody generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Head-To-Head Comparison Beachbody and Soupman |
Beachbody Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beachbody Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beachbody's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beachbody's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.1 M |
Beachbody Technical Analysis
Beachbody's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beachbody Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beachbody. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beachbody Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Beachbody Predictive Forecast Models
Beachbody's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beachbody's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beachbody's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Beachbody
Checking the ongoing alerts about Beachbody for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beachbody help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Beachbody had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Beachbody has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Beachbody was previously known as Bodyflight Sweden AB and was traded on Stockholm Exchange under the symbol BODY. | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 527.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (152.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 369.57 M. | |
| Beachbody generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Head-To-Head Comparison Beachbody and Soupman |
Check out Beachbody Backtesting, Beachbody Valuation, Beachbody Correlation, Beachbody Hype Analysis, Beachbody Volatility, Beachbody History as well as Beachbody Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Beachbody Stock please use our How to Invest in Beachbody guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Movies & Entertainment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Beachbody. If investors know Beachbody will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Beachbody listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (15.83) | Revenue Per Share 73.293 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) | Return On Assets (0.12) | Return On Equity (1.05) |
The market value of Beachbody is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Beachbody that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Beachbody's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Beachbody's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Beachbody's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Beachbody's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Beachbody's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Beachbody is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Beachbody's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.