Black Swan Graphene Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.078
| BSWGF Stock | USD 0.06 0.01 13.58% |
Black |
Black Swan Target Price Odds to finish below 0.078
The tendency of Black OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.08 after 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.08 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Black Swan to stay under $ 0.08 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Black Swan Graphene probability density function shows the probability of Black OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Black Swan Graphene price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06 and $ 0.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.37 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Black Swan has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Black Swan average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Black Swan Graphene will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Black Swan Graphene has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Black Swan Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Black Swan
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Black Swan Graphene. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Black Swan Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Black Swan is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Black Swan's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Black Swan Graphene, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Black Swan within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Black Swan Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Black Swan for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Black Swan Graphene can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Black Swan Graphene generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Black Swan Graphene has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Black Swan Graphene has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Black Swan Graphene has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.94 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (95.07 K). | |
| Black Swan Graphene has accumulated about 4.13 M in cash with (570.61 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Black Swan Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Black OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Black Swan's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Black Swan's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 283.9 M | |
| Shares Float | 281.8 M |
Black Swan Technical Analysis
Black Swan's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Black OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Black Swan Graphene. In general, you should focus on analyzing Black OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Black Swan Predictive Forecast Models
Black Swan's time-series forecasting models is one of many Black Swan's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Black Swan's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Black Swan Graphene
Checking the ongoing alerts about Black Swan for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Black Swan Graphene help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Black Swan Graphene generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Black Swan Graphene has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Black Swan Graphene has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Black Swan Graphene has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.94 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (95.07 K). | |
| Black Swan Graphene has accumulated about 4.13 M in cash with (570.61 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.3, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Black OTC Stock
Black Swan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Black OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Black with respect to the benefits of owning Black Swan security.