Ampol Ltd Adr Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 32.80
| CTXAY Stock | USD 34.50 0.11 0.32% |
Ampol |
Ampol Target Price Odds to finish below 32.80
The tendency of Ampol Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 32.80 or more in 90 days |
| 34.50 | 90 days | 32.80 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ampol to drop to $ 32.80 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ampol Ltd ADR probability density function shows the probability of Ampol Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ampol Ltd ADR price to stay between $ 32.80 and its current price of $34.5 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ampol Ltd ADR has a beta of -0.0168 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ampol are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ampol Ltd ADR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ampol Ltd ADR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ampol Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ampol
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ampol Ltd ADR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ampol Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ampol is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ampol's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ampol Ltd ADR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ampol within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.89 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Ampol Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ampol for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ampol Ltd ADR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ampol Ltd ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Ampol Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ampol Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ampol's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampol's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 238.3 M |
Ampol Technical Analysis
Ampol's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ampol Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ampol Ltd ADR. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ampol Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ampol Predictive Forecast Models
Ampol's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ampol's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ampol's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ampol Ltd ADR
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ampol for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ampol Ltd ADR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ampol Ltd ADR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Ampol Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Ampol's price analysis, check to measure Ampol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ampol is operating at the current time. Most of Ampol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ampol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ampol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ampol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.