Ampol Valuation

CTXAY Stock  USD 34.50  0.11  0.32%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Ampol Ltd ADR shows a prevailing Real Value of $42.73 per share. The current price of the firm is $34.5. Our model approximates the value of Ampol Ltd ADR from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 10.65 B, profit margin of 0.03 %, and Return On Equity of 0.27 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Undervalued
Today
34.50
Please note that Ampol's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ampol Ltd ADR is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ampol's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Ampol is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ampol Pink Sheet. However, Ampol's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  34.5 Real  42.73 Hype  34.5 Naive  33.49
The intrinsic value of Ampol's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Ampol's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
42.73
Real Value
44.64
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ampol Ltd ADR helps investors to forecast how Ampol pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ampol more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ampol's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.8135.6637.50
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.5934.5036.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
31.5833.4935.40
Details

Ampol Total Value Analysis

Ampol Ltd ADR is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 10.65 B with market capitalization of 10.55 B, debt of 1.29 B, and cash on hands of 273.1 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the Ampol fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
10.65 B
10.55 B
1.29 B
273.1 M

Ampol Investor Information

The book value of the company was currently reported as 31.37. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.29. Ampol Ltd ADR last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Ampol Ltd ADR is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in January.

Ampol Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ampol has an asset utilization ratio of 241.94 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $2.42 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ampol Ltd ADR is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

Ampol Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 21.42 B. Net Income was 560 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.24 B.

About Ampol Valuation

Our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ampol. We calculate exposure to Ampol's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ampol's related companies.
Ampol Limited purchases, refines, distributes, and markets petroleum products in Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, and the United States. Ampol Limited was founded in 1900 and is based in Alexandria, Australia. Ampol operates under Oil Gas Refining Marketing classification in the United States and is traded on OTC Exchange. It employs 9000 people.

8 Steps to conduct Ampol's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Ampol's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Ampol's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Ampol's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Ampol's revenue streams: Identify Ampol's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Ampol's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Ampol's growth potential: Evaluate Ampol's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Ampol's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Ampol's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

Ampol Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding238.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y1.147
Forward Price Earnings9.9305
Retained Earnings2.5 B

Additional Tools for Ampol Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Ampol's price analysis, check to measure Ampol's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ampol is operating at the current time. Most of Ampol's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ampol's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ampol's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ampol to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.