Central Omega (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 171.15
| DKFT Stock | IDR 226.00 4.00 1.74% |
Central |
Central Omega Target Price Odds to finish below 171.15
The tendency of Central Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 171.15 or more in 90 days |
| 226.00 | 90 days | 171.15 | about 45.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Central Omega to drop to 171.15 or more in 90 days from now is about 45.49 (This Central Omega Resources probability density function shows the probability of Central Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Central Omega Resources price to stay between 171.15 and its current price of 226.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.52 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Central Omega Resources has a beta of -0.0534 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Central Omega are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Central Omega Resources is likely to outperform the market. Moreover Central Omega Resources has an alpha of 1.0664, implying that it can generate a 1.07 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Central Omega Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Central Omega
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Omega Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Omega Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Central Omega is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Central Omega's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Central Omega Resources, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Central Omega within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 47.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Central Omega Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Central Omega for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Central Omega Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Central Omega is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Central Omega appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Central Omega Resources has accumulated 800.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.28, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Central Omega Resources has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Central Omega until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Central Omega's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Central Omega Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Central to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Central Omega's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.39 T. Net Loss for the year was (185.93 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (51.51 B). | |
| About 63.0% of Central Omega shares are held by company insiders |
Central Omega Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Central Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Central Omega's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Omega's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 355.3 B |
Central Omega Technical Analysis
Central Omega's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Central Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Central Omega Resources. In general, you should focus on analyzing Central Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Central Omega Predictive Forecast Models
Central Omega's time-series forecasting models is one of many Central Omega's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Central Omega's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Central Omega Resources
Checking the ongoing alerts about Central Omega for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Central Omega Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Central Omega is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Central Omega appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Central Omega Resources has accumulated 800.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.28, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Central Omega Resources has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Central Omega until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Central Omega's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Central Omega Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Central to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Central Omega's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.39 T. Net Loss for the year was (185.93 B) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (51.51 B). | |
| About 63.0% of Central Omega shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Central Stock
Central Omega financial ratios help investors to determine whether Central Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Central with respect to the benefits of owning Central Omega security.