Nasmed Ozel (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.36
| EGEPO Stock | 26.30 0.82 3.02% |
Nasmed |
Nasmed Ozel Target Price Odds to finish below 17.36
The tendency of Nasmed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.36 or more in 90 days |
| 26.30 | 90 days | 17.36 | about 9.04 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nasmed Ozel to drop to 17.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 9.04 (This Nasmed Ozel Saglik probability density function shows the probability of Nasmed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nasmed Ozel Saglik price to stay between 17.36 and its current price of 26.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.49 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nasmed Ozel Saglik has a beta of -0.69 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nasmed Ozel are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nasmed Ozel Saglik is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nasmed Ozel Saglik has an alpha of 0.4184, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nasmed Ozel Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Nasmed Ozel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nasmed Ozel Saglik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nasmed Ozel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nasmed Ozel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nasmed Ozel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nasmed Ozel Saglik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nasmed Ozel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.69 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Nasmed Ozel Technical Analysis
Nasmed Ozel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nasmed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nasmed Ozel Saglik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nasmed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nasmed Ozel Predictive Forecast Models
Nasmed Ozel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nasmed Ozel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nasmed Ozel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nasmed Ozel in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nasmed Ozel's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nasmed Ozel options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Nasmed Stock
Nasmed Ozel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nasmed Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nasmed with respect to the benefits of owning Nasmed Ozel security.