Employers Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.52
| EIG Stock | USD 50.81 0.27 0.53% |
Employers |
Employers Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 40.52
The tendency of Employers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 40.52 or more in 90 days |
| 50.81 | 90 days | 40.52 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Employers Holdings to drop to $ 40.52 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Employers Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Employers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Employers Holdings price to stay between $ 40.52 and its current price of $50.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.69 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.39 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Employers Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally Employers Holdings has an alpha of 0.0773, implying that it can generate a 0.0773 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Employers Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Employers Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Employers Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Employers Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Employers Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Employers Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Employers Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Employers Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Employers Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Employers Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Employers Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Employers Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Employers Holdings paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Employers Holdings SWOT analysis workers comp insurer navigates digital shift |
Employers Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Employers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Employers Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Employers Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 913.2 M |
Employers Holdings Technical Analysis
Employers Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Employers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Employers Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Employers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Employers Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Employers Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Employers Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Employers Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Employers Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Employers Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Employers Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Employers Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 27th of November 2024 Employers Holdings paid $ 0.3 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Employers Holdings SWOT analysis workers comp insurer navigates digital shift |
Check out Employers Holdings Backtesting, Employers Holdings Valuation, Employers Holdings Correlation, Employers Holdings Hype Analysis, Employers Holdings Volatility, Employers Holdings History as well as Employers Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Employers Stock please use our How to Invest in Employers Holdings guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Property & Casualty Insurance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Employers Holdings. If investors know Employers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Employers Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.246 | Dividend Share 1.16 | Earnings Share 5.31 | Revenue Per Share 35.199 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.101 |
The market value of Employers Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Employers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Employers Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Employers Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Employers Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Employers Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Employers Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Employers Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Employers Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.