Lampsa Hellenic (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 37.4

LAMPS Stock  EUR 37.40  0.00  0.00%   
Lampsa Hellenic's future price is the expected price of Lampsa Hellenic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lampsa Hellenic Backtesting, Lampsa Hellenic Valuation, Lampsa Hellenic Correlation, Lampsa Hellenic Hype Analysis, Lampsa Hellenic Volatility, Lampsa Hellenic History as well as Lampsa Hellenic Performance.
  
Please specify Lampsa Hellenic's target price for which you would like Lampsa Hellenic odds to be computed.

Lampsa Hellenic Target Price Odds to finish over 37.4

The tendency of Lampsa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 37.40 90 days 37.40 
about 60.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lampsa Hellenic to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 60.01 (This Lampsa Hellenic Hotels probability density function shows the probability of Lampsa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Lampsa Hellenic Hotels has a beta of -0.0403. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Lampsa Hellenic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Lampsa Hellenic Hotels is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Lampsa Hellenic Hotels has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Lampsa Hellenic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lampsa Hellenic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lampsa Hellenic Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lampsa Hellenic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.5437.4038.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.8936.7537.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.8836.7437.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.4037.4037.40
Details

Lampsa Hellenic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lampsa Hellenic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lampsa Hellenic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lampsa Hellenic Hotels, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lampsa Hellenic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Lampsa Hellenic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lampsa Hellenic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lampsa Hellenic Hotels can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lampsa Hellenic has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels has accumulated 115.69 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 96.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lampsa Hellenic Hotels has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lampsa Hellenic until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lampsa Hellenic's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lampsa Hellenic Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lampsa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lampsa Hellenic's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 82.0% of Lampsa Hellenic outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Lampsa Hellenic Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lampsa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lampsa Hellenic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lampsa Hellenic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding21.4 M
Short Long Term Debt16.2 M

Lampsa Hellenic Technical Analysis

Lampsa Hellenic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lampsa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lampsa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lampsa Hellenic Predictive Forecast Models

Lampsa Hellenic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lampsa Hellenic's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lampsa Hellenic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lampsa Hellenic Hotels

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lampsa Hellenic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lampsa Hellenic Hotels help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Lampsa Hellenic has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels has accumulated 115.69 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 96.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Lampsa Hellenic Hotels has a current ratio of 0.2, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Lampsa Hellenic until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lampsa Hellenic's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lampsa Hellenic Hotels sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lampsa to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lampsa Hellenic's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 82.0% of Lampsa Hellenic outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Lampsa Stock

Lampsa Hellenic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lampsa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lampsa with respect to the benefits of owning Lampsa Hellenic security.