Lampsa Hellenic Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| LAMPS Stock | EUR 37.40 0.00 0.00% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 37.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.10. Lampsa Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lampsa Hellenic stock prices and determine the direction of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lampsa Hellenic's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
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Lampsa Hellenic Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of December
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Lampsa Hellenic Hotels on the next trading day is expected to be 37.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lampsa Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lampsa Hellenic's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lampsa Hellenic Stock Forecast Pattern
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Lampsa Hellenic Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lampsa Hellenic's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lampsa Hellenic's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 36.53 and 38.27, respectively. We have considered Lampsa Hellenic's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lampsa Hellenic stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lampsa Hellenic stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.037 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2051 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0054 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.1025 |
Predictive Modules for Lampsa Hellenic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lampsa Hellenic Hotels. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lampsa Hellenic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Lampsa Hellenic
For every potential investor in Lampsa, whether a beginner or expert, Lampsa Hellenic's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lampsa Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lampsa. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lampsa Hellenic's price trends.Lampsa Hellenic Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lampsa Hellenic stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lampsa Hellenic could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lampsa Hellenic by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lampsa Hellenic Hotels Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lampsa Hellenic's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lampsa Hellenic's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Lampsa Hellenic Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lampsa Hellenic stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lampsa Hellenic shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lampsa Hellenic stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lampsa Hellenic Hotels entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Lampsa Hellenic Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lampsa Hellenic's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lampsa Hellenic's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lampsa stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.5297 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8787 | |||
| Variance | 0.7721 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Lampsa Stock
Lampsa Hellenic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lampsa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lampsa with respect to the benefits of owning Lampsa Hellenic security.