LivePerson (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 311.00

LPSN Stock  ILS 311.00  0.90  0.29%   
LivePerson's future price is the expected price of LivePerson instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of LivePerson performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out LivePerson Backtesting, LivePerson Valuation, LivePerson Correlation, LivePerson Hype Analysis, LivePerson Volatility, LivePerson History as well as LivePerson Performance.
For information on how to trade LivePerson Stock refer to our How to Trade LivePerson Stock guide.
  
Please specify LivePerson's target price for which you would like LivePerson odds to be computed.

LivePerson Target Price Odds to finish over 311.00

The tendency of LivePerson Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 311.00 90 days 311.00 
about 87.91
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of LivePerson to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.91 (This LivePerson probability density function shows the probability of LivePerson Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon LivePerson has a beta of 0.17. This indicates as returns on the market go up, LivePerson average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding LivePerson will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally LivePerson has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   LivePerson Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for LivePerson

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as LivePerson. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
305.95311.00316.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
286.60291.65342.10
Details

LivePerson Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. LivePerson is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the LivePerson's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold LivePerson, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of LivePerson within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.59
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
61.53
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

LivePerson Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of LivePerson for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for LivePerson can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LivePerson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LivePerson has high historical volatility and very poor performance
LivePerson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 469.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (124.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 312.74 M.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

LivePerson Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of LivePerson Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential LivePerson's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LivePerson's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73.1 M

LivePerson Technical Analysis

LivePerson's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. LivePerson Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of LivePerson. In general, you should focus on analyzing LivePerson Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

LivePerson Predictive Forecast Models

LivePerson's time-series forecasting models is one of many LivePerson's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary LivePerson's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about LivePerson

Checking the ongoing alerts about LivePerson for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for LivePerson help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
LivePerson generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
LivePerson has high historical volatility and very poor performance
LivePerson has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The company reported the revenue of 469.62 M. Net Loss for the year was (124.97 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 312.74 M.
Over 88.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in LivePerson Stock

When determining whether LivePerson offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of LivePerson's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Liveperson Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Liveperson Stock:
Check out LivePerson Backtesting, LivePerson Valuation, LivePerson Correlation, LivePerson Hype Analysis, LivePerson Volatility, LivePerson History as well as LivePerson Performance.
For information on how to trade LivePerson Stock refer to our How to Trade LivePerson Stock guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LivePerson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LivePerson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LivePerson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.