Mapletree Industrial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.58

M2L Stock  EUR 1.58  0.02  1.25%   
Mapletree Industrial's future price is the expected price of Mapletree Industrial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mapletree Industrial Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mapletree Industrial Backtesting, Mapletree Industrial Valuation, Mapletree Industrial Correlation, Mapletree Industrial Hype Analysis, Mapletree Industrial Volatility, Mapletree Industrial History as well as Mapletree Industrial Performance.
  
Please specify Mapletree Industrial's target price for which you would like Mapletree Industrial odds to be computed.

Mapletree Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 1.58

The tendency of Mapletree Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.58 90 days 1.58 
about 81.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mapletree Industrial to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 81.89 (This Mapletree Industrial Trust probability density function shows the probability of Mapletree Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Mapletree Industrial Trust has a beta of -0.0923. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mapletree Industrial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mapletree Industrial Trust is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mapletree Industrial Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Mapletree Industrial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mapletree Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mapletree Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.141.583.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.342.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.151.603.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.571.581.59
Details

Mapletree Industrial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mapletree Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mapletree Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mapletree Industrial Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mapletree Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.009
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Mapletree Industrial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mapletree Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mapletree Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mapletree Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mapletree Industrial may become a speculative penny stock
Mapletree Industrial Trust has accumulated 2.51 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 46.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mapletree Industrial has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mapletree Industrial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mapletree Industrial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mapletree Industrial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mapletree to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mapletree Industrial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Mapletree Industrial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mapletree Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mapletree Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mapletree Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.7 B
Dividends Paid310.8 M
Short Long Term Debt385.9 M

Mapletree Industrial Technical Analysis

Mapletree Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mapletree Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mapletree Industrial Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mapletree Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mapletree Industrial Predictive Forecast Models

Mapletree Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mapletree Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mapletree Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mapletree Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mapletree Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mapletree Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Mapletree Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Mapletree Industrial may become a speculative penny stock
Mapletree Industrial Trust has accumulated 2.51 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 46.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Mapletree Industrial has a current ratio of 0.14, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Mapletree Industrial until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mapletree Industrial's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mapletree Industrial sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mapletree to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mapletree Industrial's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Other Information on Investing in Mapletree Stock

Mapletree Industrial financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mapletree Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mapletree with respect to the benefits of owning Mapletree Industrial security.