Mark Dynamics (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1088.96

MARK Stock  IDR 1,060  5.00  0.47%   
Mark Dynamics' future price is the expected price of Mark Dynamics instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Mark Dynamics Indonesia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Mark Dynamics Backtesting, Mark Dynamics Valuation, Mark Dynamics Correlation, Mark Dynamics Hype Analysis, Mark Dynamics Volatility, Mark Dynamics History as well as Mark Dynamics Performance.
  
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Mark Dynamics Target Price Odds to finish below 1088.96

The tendency of Mark Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  1,089  after 90 days
 1,060 90 days 1,089 
about 80.75
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mark Dynamics to stay under  1,089  after 90 days from now is about 80.75 (This Mark Dynamics Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of Mark Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mark Dynamics Indonesia price to stay between its current price of  1,060  and  1,089  at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.42 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Mark Dynamics Indonesia has a beta of -0.39. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Mark Dynamics are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Mark Dynamics Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Mark Dynamics Indonesia has an alpha of 0.308, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Mark Dynamics Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Mark Dynamics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mark Dynamics Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,0571,0601,063
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
885.27888.141,166
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,0701,0731,076
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
995.651,0571,118
Details

Mark Dynamics Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mark Dynamics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mark Dynamics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mark Dynamics Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mark Dynamics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.39
σ
Overall volatility
60.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Mark Dynamics Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mark Dynamics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mark Dynamics Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Mark Dynamics Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mark Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mark Dynamics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mark Dynamics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments104.2 B

Mark Dynamics Technical Analysis

Mark Dynamics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mark Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mark Dynamics Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mark Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Mark Dynamics Predictive Forecast Models

Mark Dynamics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Mark Dynamics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mark Dynamics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Mark Dynamics Indonesia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Mark Dynamics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mark Dynamics Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 82.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Mark Stock

Mark Dynamics financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mark Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mark with respect to the benefits of owning Mark Dynamics security.