Affiliated Managers Group, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.8
| MGRD Stock | USD 15.57 0.16 1.02% |
Affiliated |
Affiliated Managers Target Price Odds to finish below 15.8
The tendency of Affiliated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 15.80 after 90 days |
| 15.57 | 90 days | 15.80 | about 1.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Affiliated Managers to stay under $ 15.80 after 90 days from now is about 1.6 (This Affiliated Managers Group, probability density function shows the probability of Affiliated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Affiliated Managers price to stay between its current price of $ 15.57 and $ 15.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.06 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Affiliated Managers has a beta of 0.29. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Affiliated Managers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Affiliated Managers Group, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Affiliated Managers Group, has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Affiliated Managers Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Affiliated Managers
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Affiliated Managers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Affiliated Managers Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Affiliated Managers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Affiliated Managers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Affiliated Managers Group,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Affiliated Managers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Affiliated Managers Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Affiliated Managers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Affiliated Managers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Affiliated Managers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Affiliated Managers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Dwight Churchill of 621 shares of Affiliated Managers subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Affiliated Managers Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Affiliated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Affiliated Managers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Affiliated Managers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.2 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -1.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.3 B |
Affiliated Managers Technical Analysis
Affiliated Managers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Affiliated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Affiliated Managers Group,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Affiliated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Affiliated Managers Predictive Forecast Models
Affiliated Managers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Affiliated Managers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Affiliated Managers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Affiliated Managers
Checking the ongoing alerts about Affiliated Managers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Affiliated Managers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Affiliated Managers generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Affiliated Managers has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Acquisition by Dwight Churchill of 621 shares of Affiliated Managers subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Affiliated Managers Backtesting, Affiliated Managers Valuation, Affiliated Managers Correlation, Affiliated Managers Hype Analysis, Affiliated Managers Volatility, Affiliated Managers History as well as Affiliated Managers Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Trading space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affiliated Managers. If investors know Affiliated will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Affiliated Managers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Affiliated Managers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Affiliated that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Affiliated Managers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Affiliated Managers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Affiliated Managers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Affiliated Managers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Affiliated Managers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Affiliated Managers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Affiliated Managers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.