NV Nederlandsche (Netherlands) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 53.20

NEDAP Stock  EUR 53.20  0.20  0.38%   
NV Nederlandsche's future price is the expected price of NV Nederlandsche instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NV Nederlandsche Backtesting, NV Nederlandsche Valuation, NV Nederlandsche Correlation, NV Nederlandsche Hype Analysis, NV Nederlandsche Volatility, NV Nederlandsche History as well as NV Nederlandsche Performance.
  
Please specify NV Nederlandsche's target price for which you would like NV Nederlandsche odds to be computed.

NV Nederlandsche Target Price Odds to finish over 53.20

The tendency of NEDAP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 53.20 90 days 53.20 
about 91.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NV Nederlandsche to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.18 (This NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek probability density function shows the probability of NEDAP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NV Nederlandsche has a beta of 0.14. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NV Nederlandsche average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NV Nederlandsche Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NV Nederlandsche

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NV Nederlandsche App. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
52.0353.2054.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
52.8854.0555.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
52.4453.6154.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
52.6553.2353.82
Details

NV Nederlandsche Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NV Nederlandsche is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NV Nederlandsche's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NV Nederlandsche within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
1.62
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

NV Nederlandsche Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NV Nederlandsche for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NV Nederlandsche App can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NV Nederlandsche App generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

NV Nederlandsche Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NEDAP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NV Nederlandsche's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NV Nederlandsche's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.5 M

NV Nederlandsche Technical Analysis

NV Nederlandsche's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NEDAP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NV Nederlandsche Apparatenfabriek. In general, you should focus on analyzing NEDAP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NV Nederlandsche Predictive Forecast Models

NV Nederlandsche's time-series forecasting models is one of many NV Nederlandsche's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NV Nederlandsche's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NV Nederlandsche App

Checking the ongoing alerts about NV Nederlandsche for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NV Nederlandsche App help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NV Nederlandsche App generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in NEDAP Stock

NV Nederlandsche financial ratios help investors to determine whether NEDAP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NEDAP with respect to the benefits of owning NV Nederlandsche security.