Phylogica (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 336.77
| PH7 Stock | EUR 0.62 0.00 0.00% |
Phylogica |
Phylogica Target Price Odds to finish over 336.77
The tendency of Phylogica Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 336.77 or more in 90 days |
| 0.62 | 90 days | 336.77 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Phylogica to move over € 336.77 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Phylogica Limited probability density function shows the probability of Phylogica Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Phylogica Limited price to stay between its current price of € 0.62 and € 336.77 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 91.93 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Phylogica will likely underperform. In addition to that Phylogica Limited has an alpha of 5.4166, implying that it can generate a 5.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Phylogica Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Phylogica
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Phylogica Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Phylogica Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Phylogica is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Phylogica's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Phylogica Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Phylogica within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 5.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 91.93 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Phylogica Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Phylogica for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Phylogica Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Phylogica Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Phylogica Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Phylogica Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Phylogica Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.07 M. | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Phylogica Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Phylogica Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Phylogica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Phylogica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.2 B |
Phylogica Technical Analysis
Phylogica's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Phylogica Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Phylogica Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Phylogica Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Phylogica Predictive Forecast Models
Phylogica's time-series forecasting models is one of many Phylogica's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Phylogica's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Phylogica Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about Phylogica for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Phylogica Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Phylogica Limited is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Phylogica Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Phylogica Limited appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Phylogica Limited has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 3.07 M. Net Loss for the year was (13.86 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.07 M. | |
| About 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for Phylogica Stock Analysis
When running Phylogica's price analysis, check to measure Phylogica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Phylogica is operating at the current time. Most of Phylogica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Phylogica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Phylogica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Phylogica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.