Temapol Polimer (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 66.85

TMPOL Stock  TRY 70.30  1.20  1.68%   
Temapol Polimer's future price is the expected price of Temapol Polimer instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Temapol Polimer Plastik performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Temapol Polimer Backtesting, Temapol Polimer Valuation, Temapol Polimer Correlation, Temapol Polimer Hype Analysis, Temapol Polimer Volatility, Temapol Polimer History as well as Temapol Polimer Performance.
  
Please specify Temapol Polimer's target price for which you would like Temapol Polimer odds to be computed.

Temapol Polimer Target Price Odds to finish below 66.85

The tendency of Temapol Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  66.85  or more in 90 days
 70.30 90 days 66.85 
about 47.89
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Temapol Polimer to drop to  66.85  or more in 90 days from now is about 47.89 (This Temapol Polimer Plastik probability density function shows the probability of Temapol Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Temapol Polimer Plastik price to stay between  66.85  and its current price of 70.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 41.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Temapol Polimer has a beta of 0.49. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Temapol Polimer average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Temapol Polimer Plastik will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Temapol Polimer Plastik has an alpha of 0.0357, implying that it can generate a 0.0357 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Temapol Polimer Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Temapol Polimer

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Temapol Polimer Plastik. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
67.5770.1072.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
64.3266.8577.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
70.4372.9675.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
67.6969.4171.14
Details

Temapol Polimer Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Temapol Polimer is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Temapol Polimer's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Temapol Polimer Plastik, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Temapol Polimer within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
2.64
Ir
Information ratio -0.0067

Temapol Polimer Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Temapol Polimer for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Temapol Polimer Plastik can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Temapol Polimer Technical Analysis

Temapol Polimer's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Temapol Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Temapol Polimer Plastik. In general, you should focus on analyzing Temapol Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Temapol Polimer Predictive Forecast Models

Temapol Polimer's time-series forecasting models is one of many Temapol Polimer's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Temapol Polimer's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Temapol Polimer Plastik

Checking the ongoing alerts about Temapol Polimer for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Temapol Polimer Plastik help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 51.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Temapol Stock

Temapol Polimer financial ratios help investors to determine whether Temapol Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Temapol with respect to the benefits of owning Temapol Polimer security.