Graphic Packaging (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

4W8 Stock  EUR 27.90  0.07  0.25%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Graphic Packaging Holding is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Graphic Packaging buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding 4W8 positions.
  
Check out Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Graphic and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Graphic Packaging Holding. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Advice

The Graphic recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Graphic Packaging Holding. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Graphic Packaging Holding or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Graphic Packaging's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Graphic PackagingBuy Graphic Packaging
Hold

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Graphic Packaging Holding has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0513, Jensen Alpha of (0.06), Total Risk Alpha of (0.16), Sortino Ratio of (0.02) and Treynor Ratio of 0.0708
Our trade recommendations module complements current analysts and expert consensus on Graphic Packaging Holding. It analyzes the firm potential to grow using all fundamental, technical, and market related data available at the time. To make sure Graphic Packaging Holding is not overpriced, please check out all Graphic Packaging fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Graphic Packaging Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Graphic Packaging has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Graphic Packaging Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Graphic Packaging's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Graphic Packaging's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Graphic Packaging daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Graphic Packaging Holding price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Graphic Packaging returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Graphic Packaging.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-2.02
Potential Upside
2.30
Standard Deviation
1.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Graphic Packaging historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Graphic Packaging Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Graphic Packaging or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Graphic Packaging's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Graphic stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.27
σ
Overall volatility
1.58
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Graphic Packaging Volatility Alert

Graphic Packaging Holding has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.76 and kurtosis of 5.81. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Graphic Packaging's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Graphic Packaging's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Graphic Packaging Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Graphic Packaging's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Graphic Packaging's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Graphic Packaging and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Graphic Packaging or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Graphic Packaging's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Graphic Packaging by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Graphic Packaging to competition
FundamentalsGraphic PackagingPeer Average
Return On Equity0.26-0.31
Return On Asset0.0634-0.14
Profit Margin0.06 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation11.56 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding307.12 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.05 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions98.95 %39.21 %
Price To Earning15.29 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.45 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.70 X11.42 X
Revenue9.44 B9.43 B
Gross Profit1.84 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.47 B3.9 B
Net Income522 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents64.9 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.22 X5.01 X
Total Debt5.2 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity140.10 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.70 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share7.00 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.09 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share1.62 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.70 X4.89 X
Target Price25.92
Number Of Employees24 K18.84 K
Beta0.98-0.15
Market Capitalization7.05 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.33 B29.47 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.02 %
Net Asset10.33 B
Last Dividend Paid0.33

Graphic Packaging Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Graphic . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Graphic Packaging Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Graphic Packaging Holding? Buying financial instruments such as Graphic Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Graphic Packaging in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Food Products Thematic Idea Now

Food Products
Food Products Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Food Products theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Food Products Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Graphic Stock

When determining whether Graphic Packaging Holding is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Graphic Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Graphic Packaging Holding Stock:
Check out Graphic Packaging Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Economic Indicators module to top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Graphic Packaging's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Graphic Packaging is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Graphic Packaging's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.