Alfen NV (Germany) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

703 Stock  EUR 11.14  0.35  3.05%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Alfen NV is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Alfen NV buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Alfen NV positions.
  
Check out Alfen NV Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Alfen and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Alfen NV. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Alfen NV Buy or Sell Advice

The Alfen recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Alfen NV. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Alfen NV or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Alfen NV's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Alfen NVBuy Alfen NV
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Somewhat reliableDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Alfen NV has a Mean Deviation of 2.19, Standard Deviation of 2.84 and Variance of 8.07
Our trade advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Alfen NV and to analyze the company potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Alfen NV is not overpriced, please confirm all Alfen NV fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Alfen NV Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Alfen NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Alfen NV Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Alfen NV's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Alfen NV's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Alfen NV daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Alfen NV price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Alfen NV returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Alfen NV.
Mean Return
-0.18
Value At Risk
-4.58
Potential Upside
4.71
Standard Deviation
2.84
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Alfen NV historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Alfen NV Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Alfen NV or Industrials sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Alfen NV's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Alfen stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.12
σ
Overall volatility
2.75
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Alfen NV Volatility Alert

Alfen NV exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.06 and kurtosis of 0.61. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Alfen NV's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Alfen NV's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Alfen NV Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Alfen NV's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Alfen NV's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Alfen NV and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Alfen NV or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Alfen NV's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alfen NV by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Alfen NV to competition
FundamentalsAlfen NVPeer Average
Return On Equity0.43-0.31
Return On Asset0.17-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.16 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation2.02 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding21.7 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.49 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions69.80 %39.21 %
Price To Earning155.18 X28.72 X
Price To Book16.40 X9.51 X
Price To Sales5.47 X11.42 X
Revenue439.88 M9.43 B
Gross Profit153.51 M27.38 B
EBITDA77.91 M3.9 B
Net Income53.05 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents52.34 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.41 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.69 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.27 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.02 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.94 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations429 K971.22 M
Earnings Per Share2.43 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees89318.84 K
Beta1.06-0.15
Market Capitalization1.67 B19.03 B
Total Asset321.07 M29.47 B
Net Asset321.07 M

Alfen NV Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Alfen . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Alfen NV Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Alfen NV? Buying financial instruments such as Alfen Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Other Information on Investing in Alfen Stock

Alfen NV financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alfen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alfen with respect to the benefits of owning Alfen NV security.