Apollo Commercial Real Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ARI Stock | USD 9.25 0.05 0.54% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Apollo Commercial Real is 'Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Apollo Commercial's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Apollo Commercial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Apollo and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Apollo Commercial Real. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area.
Apollo |
Execute Apollo Commercial Buy or Sell Advice
The Apollo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Apollo Commercial Real. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Apollo Commercial Real or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Apollo Commercial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Possible Manipulator | Details |
Apollo Commercial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Apollo Commercial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Apollo Commercial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 15th of October 2024 Apollo Commercial paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders |
Apollo Commercial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Apollo Commercial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Apollo Commercial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Apollo Commercial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Apollo Commercial Real price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Apollo Commercial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Apollo Commercial.
| Mean Return | -0.13 | Value At Risk | -2.25 | Potential Upside | 1.47 | Standard Deviation | 1.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Apollo Commercial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Apollo Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-09-30 | 966.7 K | Arete Wealth Advisors, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 673.4 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 665.8 K | Apollo Management Holdings Lp | 2024-09-30 | 665.6 K | Principal Financial Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 601.1 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 578.2 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 575 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 534.6 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 527.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 22.7 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 15.1 M |
Apollo Commercial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 342.5M | (126.8M) | 17.6M | (121.1M) | 3.4M | 3.2M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 273.4M | 164.1M | 199.3M | 234.7M | 201.2M | 139.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 26.2M | 136.1M | (50.7M) | (6.0M) | 190.5M | 200.0M | |
| Net Income | 230.2M | 18.4M | 223.5M | 265.2M | 58.1M | 55.2M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 452.3M | 325.5M | 343.1M | 222.0M | 225.4M | 174.8M | |
| Depreciation | (69.6M) | (48.9M) | 2.6M | 704K | 8.2M | 8.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 291.2M | 251.3M | 212.6M | 212.8M | 214.3M | 168.3M | |
| Net Borrowings | 480.6M | (16.1M) | 765.8M | (369.5M) | (424.9M) | (403.7M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 95.2M | 201.8M | (34.1M) | (13.9M) | (16.0M) | (15.2M) | |
| Investments | 1.5B | 669.5M | (1.4B) | 1.9B | 409.6M | 388.4M |
Apollo Commercial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Apollo Commercial or Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Apollo Commercial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Apollo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.2 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Apollo Commercial Volatility Alert
Apollo Commercial Real exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -1.79 and kurtosis of 7.24. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Apollo Commercial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Apollo Commercial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Apollo Commercial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Apollo Commercial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Apollo Commercial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Apollo Commercial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Apollo Commercial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Apollo Commercial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Apollo Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Apollo Commercial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Apollo Commercial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0558 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0125 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.71) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.47 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 8.21 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 138.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.65 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 65.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.54 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 9.30 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.68 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 7.98 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 344.59 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 268.89 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (416.67 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 58.13 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 568.48 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 4.04 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 6.95 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 2.84 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 17.28 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 13.52 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 273.86 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 2.63 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.94) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 33.37 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 9.0 | |
| Beta | 1.8 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.29 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 9.3 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (520.24 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 62.08 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 114.45 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Anastasia Mironova of 12396 shares of Apollo Commercial subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Apollo Commercial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Apollo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Apollo Commercial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Apollo Commercial Real? Buying financial instruments such as Apollo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Apollo Commercial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Is Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Apollo Commercial. If investors know Apollo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Apollo Commercial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.74) | Dividend Share 1.3 | Earnings Share (0.94) | Revenue Per Share 1.147 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
The market value of Apollo Commercial Real is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Apollo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Apollo Commercial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Apollo Commercial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Apollo Commercial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Apollo Commercial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Apollo Commercial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Apollo Commercial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Apollo Commercial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.