Apollo Commercial Valuation

ARI Stock  USD 9.25  0.05  0.54%   
At this time, the firm appears to be undervalued. Apollo Commercial Real shows a prevailing Real Value of $9.83 per share. The current price of the firm is $9.25. Our model approximates the value of Apollo Commercial Real from analyzing the firm fundamentals such as Profit Margin of (0.71) %, current valuation of 8.21 B, and Return On Equity of -0.0558 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Apollo Commercial's valuation include:
Price Book
0.6878
Enterprise Value
8.2 B
Price Sales
7.9336
Forward PE
15.3139
Enterprise Value Revenue
41.7729
Undervalued
Today
9.25
Please note that Apollo Commercial's price fluctuation is not too volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of Apollo Commercial Real is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Apollo Commercial's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Apollo Commercial is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Apollo Stock. However, Apollo Commercial's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.25 Real  9.83 Target  10.33 Hype  9.29
The intrinsic value of Apollo Commercial's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Apollo Commercial's stock price.
9.83
Real Value
11.21
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Apollo Commercial Real helps investors to forecast how Apollo stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Apollo Commercial more accurately as focusing exclusively on Apollo Commercial's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.060.160.33
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.919.2910.67
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
9.4010.3311.47
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Apollo Commercial Real, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Apollo Commercial Cash

174.76 Million

Apollo Valuation Trend

Apollo Commercial's real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Apollo Commercial's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Apollo Commercial Total Value Analysis

Apollo Commercial Real is presently projected to have company total value of 8.21 B with market capitalization of 1.28 B, debt of 6.95 B, and cash on hands of 568.48 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the Apollo Commercial fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
8.21 B
1.28 B
6.95 B
568.48 M

Apollo Commercial Investor Information

About 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Apollo Commercial Real recorded a loss per share of 0.94. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2024. The firm had 1:15 split on the December 7, 2009. Based on the analysis of Apollo Commercial's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Apollo Commercial Real is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high odds of going through financial crisis in December.

Apollo Commercial Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Apollo Commercial has an asset utilization ratio of 3.71 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.0371 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Apollo Commercial Real is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Apollo Commercial Ownership Allocation

Apollo Commercial holds a total of 138.18 Million outstanding shares. Over half of Apollo Commercial's outstanding shares are owned by other corporate entities. These other corporate entities are typically referred to as corporate investors that acquire positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company secures, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

Apollo Commercial Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 344.59 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 58.13 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 268.89 M.

Apollo Commercial Past Distributions to stockholders

About Apollo Commercial Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Apollo Stock, attempts to find the value of Apollo Commercial Real based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Apollo Commercial's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Apollo Commercial's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Apollo Commercial. We calculate exposure to Apollo Commercial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Apollo Commercial's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit225.6 M153 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.17  0.16 
Operating Profit Margin 6.53  6.86 
Net Profit Margin 0.17  0.24 
Gross Profit Margin 0.65  0.79 
Apollo Commercial's stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Apollo Commercial's value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Apollo Commercial can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Apollo Commercial represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Apollo, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Apollo Commercial Dividends Analysis For Valuation

As of now, Apollo Commercial's Dividend Payout Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Apollo Commercial's current Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is estimated to increase to 1.02, while Dividends Paid is forecasted to increase to (203.6 M). . The Apollo Commercial's current Price Earnings Ratio is estimated to increase to 29.96, while Retained Earnings are forecasted to increase to (494.2 M).
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid-214.3 M-203.6 M
Dividend Yield 0.13  0.10 
Dividend Payout Ratio 3.69  3.87 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 0.95  1.02 
There are various types of dividends Apollo Commercial can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Apollo shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Apollo Commercial Real directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Apollo pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Apollo Commercial by the value of the dividends paid out.

Apollo Commercial Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding141.3 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.737
Forward Price Earnings15.3139

Apollo Commercial Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Apollo Commercial Real and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Apollo we look at many different elements of the entity such as Apollo's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Apollo Commercial, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Apollo Commercial's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Apollo Commercial's worth.

Complementary Tools for Apollo Stock analysis

When running Apollo Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Apollo Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Apollo Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Apollo Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Apollo Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Apollo Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Apollo Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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