Aristocrat Leisure Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

ARLUF Stock  USD 46.34  1.79  4.02%   
Assuming the 90 days horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aristocrat Leisure Limited is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Aristocrat Leisure buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding ARLUF positions.
  
Check out Aristocrat Leisure Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aristocrat and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Aristocrat Leisure Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

Execute Aristocrat Leisure Buy or Sell Advice

The Aristocrat recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aristocrat Leisure Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aristocrat Leisure Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aristocrat Leisure's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Aristocrat LeisureBuy Aristocrat Leisure
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Aristocrat Leisure Limited has a Mean Deviation of 1.62, Semi Deviation of 1.7, Standard Deviation of 2.77, Variance of 7.7, Downside Variance of 16.96 and Semi Variance of 2.9
Our investment recommendation tool can be used to complement Aristocrat Leisure trade advice provided by experts. It analyzes the company's potential to grow against your specific risk preferences and investment horizon. To make sure Aristocrat Leisure is not overpriced, please confirm all Aristocrat Leisure fundamentals, including its cash and equivalents, number of employees, and the relationship between the revenue and current ratio . Given that Aristocrat Leisure has a price to book of 3.67 X, we suggest you to validate Aristocrat Leisure Limited market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your prevailing risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Aristocrat Leisure Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Aristocrat Leisure's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aristocrat Leisure's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aristocrat Leisure daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aristocrat Leisure Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aristocrat Leisure returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aristocrat Leisure.
Mean Return
0.42
Value At Risk
-3.08
Potential Upside
5.71
Standard Deviation
2.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aristocrat Leisure historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Aristocrat Leisure Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aristocrat Leisure or Consumer Cyclical sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aristocrat Leisure's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aristocrat pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.44
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.29
σ
Overall volatility
2.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Aristocrat Leisure Volatility Alert

Aristocrat Leisure Limited shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aristocrat Leisure's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aristocrat Leisure's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Aristocrat Leisure Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Aristocrat Leisure's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aristocrat Leisure's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aristocrat Leisure and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aristocrat Leisure or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aristocrat Leisure's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aristocrat Leisure by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Aristocrat Leisure to competition
FundamentalsAristocrat LeisurePeer Average
Return On Equity0.19-0.31
Return On Asset0.097-0.14
Profit Margin0.17 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.26 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation15.03 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding657.4 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders11.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions37.15 %39.21 %
Price To Earning14.46 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.67 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.68 X11.42 X
Revenue5.57 B9.43 B
Gross Profit3.08 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.98 B3.9 B
Net Income948.5 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.99 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share4.46 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.36 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.52 %48.70 %
Current Ratio3.77 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.14 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.25 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.99 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees7.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.91-0.15
Market Capitalization16.52 B19.03 B
Total Asset10.12 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings437 M9.33 B
Working Capital326 M1.48 B
Current Asset875 M9.34 B
Current Liabilities549 M7.9 B
Z Score4.28.72
Annual Yield0.01 %

Aristocrat Leisure Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aristocrat . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Aristocrat Leisure Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Aristocrat Leisure Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Aristocrat Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Shipping Containers Theme
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Other Information on Investing in Aristocrat Pink Sheet

Aristocrat Leisure financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aristocrat Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aristocrat with respect to the benefits of owning Aristocrat Leisure security.