Academy Sports Outdoors Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| ASO Stock | USD 48.85 0.84 1.75% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Academy Sports Outdoors is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Academy Sports' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Academy Sports Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Academy and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Academy Sports Outdoors. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state.
Academy |
Execute Academy Sports Buy or Sell Advice
The Academy recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Academy Sports Outdoors. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Academy Sports Outdoors or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Academy Sports' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Low key | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Poor | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Academy Sports Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Academy Sports generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Academy Sports has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| On 17th of October 2024 Academy Sports paid $ 0.11 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Assortment and Space Optimization Market Global Forecast Report and Company Analysis 2025-2033 with Accenture, Aptos, and Blue Yonder at the Forefront of Growth |
Academy Sports Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Academy Sports' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Academy Sports' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Academy Sports daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Academy Sports Outdoors price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Academy Sports returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Academy Sports.
| Mean Return | -0.19 | Value At Risk | -3.25 | Potential Upside | 4.04 | Standard Deviation | 2.20 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Academy Sports historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Academy Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Academy Sports, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Academy Sports Outdoors back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 976.6 K | Royce & Associates, Lp | 2024-09-30 | 951.3 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 945 K | Nuveen Asset Management, Llc | 2024-06-30 | 941.1 K | Vaughan Nelson Scarbrgh & Mccullough Lp | 2024-06-30 | 808.2 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 751 K | Hhg Plc | 2024-06-30 | 746.6 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 743.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 725.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 11.3 M | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 10.7 M |
Academy Sports Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change To Inventory | 34.4M | 109.5M | (181.8M) | (111.7M) | 89.4M | 93.8M | |
| Investments | (66.8M) | 8.1M | (76.0M) | (108.8M) | (206.1M) | (195.8M) | |
| Change In Cash | 73.7M | 228.2M | 108.4M | (148.9M) | 10.8M | 10.2M | |
| Net Borrowings | (122.8M) | (679.2M) | (103.2M) | (103M) | (92.7M) | (97.3M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 200.9M | 970.3M | 597.2M | 443.2M | 327.5M | 405.6M | |
| Depreciation | 117.3M | 105.5M | 105.3M | 106.8M | 110.9M | 92.8M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (34.0M) | 17.3M | 2.2M | 5.0M | 20.6M | 21.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 62.8M | 41.3M | 76.0M | 108.8M | 208.3M | 115.9M | |
| Net Income | 120.0M | 308.8M | 671.4M | 628.0M | 519.2M | 365.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 149.4M | 377.6M | 486.0M | 337.1M | 347.9M | 283.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | (29.6M) | 28.7M | 121.0M | 65.0M | 74.7M | 78.5M |
Academy Sports Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Academy Sports or Specialty Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Academy Sports' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Academy stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Academy Sports Volatility Alert
Academy Sports Outdoors exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.82 and kurtosis of 0.64. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Academy Sports' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Academy Sports' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Academy Sports Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Academy Sports' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Academy Sports' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Academy Sports and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Academy Sports or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Academy Sports' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Academy Sports by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Academy Sports to competition |
| Fundamentals | Academy Sports | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.26 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0829 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.12 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.75 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 70.31 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 3.11 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 96.89 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.91 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 7.67 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.73 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.55 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 6.16 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.21 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 788.79 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 519.19 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 399.86 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 5.01 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 1.7 B | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 1.22 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 1.58 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 27.53 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 535.78 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 5.57 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 6.44 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.52 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 62.44 | |
| Number Of Employees | 21 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.37 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 3.38 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 4.68 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 1.71 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 765.04 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 1274 shares by Hicks Ken C of Academy Sports subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Academy Sports Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Academy . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Academy Sports Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Academy Sports Outdoors? Buying financial instruments such as Academy Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Academy Sports in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Treasury ETFs theme has 114 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Treasury ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Academy Sports Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Academy Sports. If investors know Academy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Academy Sports listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Dividend Share 0.42 | Earnings Share 6.44 | Revenue Per Share 82.956 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Academy Sports Outdoors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Academy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Academy Sports' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Academy Sports' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Academy Sports' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Academy Sports' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Academy Sports' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Academy Sports is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Academy Sports' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.