Academy Sports Outdoors Stock Price Prediction

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 43.97 54.25 56.48 Details

Naive Forecast Low Next High 46.35 48.57 50.80 Details

19 Analysts Consensus Low Target High 62.28 68.44 75.97 Details

Earnings Estimates (0) Low Projected EPS High 1.19 1.30 1.42 Details

Academy Sports After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

Academy Sports Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Academy Sports Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Expected Return	Period Volatility	Hype Elasticity	Related Elasticity	News Density	Related Density	Expected Hype
0.17	2.24	0.09	1.57	10 Events / Month	7 Events / Month	In about 10 days

Latest traded price	Expected after-news price	Potential return on next major news	Average after-hype volatility
48.85	48.76	0.18	439.22   Notes

Academy Sports Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November Academy Sports Outdoors is traded for 48.85. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.57. Academy is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 48.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Academy Sports is about 24.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.42. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.73. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Academy Sports Outdoors has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.44. The firm last dividend was issued on the 19th of September 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Academy Sports Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Academy Sports Related Hype Analysis

Academy Sports Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Academy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Academy using various technical indicators. When you analyze Academy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

The successful prediction of Academy Sports stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Academy Sports Outdoors, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Academy Sports based on analysis of Academy Sports hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.

The number of cover stories for Academy Sports depends on current market conditions and Academy Sports' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Academy Sports is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Academy Sports' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Academy Sports' future price predictability will typically decrease when Academy Sports' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Academy Sports Outdoors often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Academy Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Academy Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Check out Academy Sports Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Is Other Specialty Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Academy Sports. If investors know Academy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Academy Sports listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

The market value of Academy Sports Outdoors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Academy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Academy Sports' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Academy Sports' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Academy Sports' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Academy Sports' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between Academy Sports' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Academy Sports is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Academy Sports' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.