Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AUPH Stock | USD 8.98 0.03 0.34% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is 'Strong Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Aurinia Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurinia Pharmaceuticals guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Aurinia and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Aurinia Pharmaceuticals. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Aurinia |
Execute Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
The Aurinia recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Aurinia Pharmaceuticals. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Aurinia Pharmaceuticals or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Buy
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Somewhat reliable | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Follows the market closely | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Frail | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Aurinia Pharmaceuticals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 175.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 83.38 M. | |
| Aurinia Pharmaceuticals currently holds about 391.51 M in cash with (33.46 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.76. | |
| Aurinia Pharmaceuticals has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from bizjournals.com: Aurinia Pharmaceuticals laying off dozens in Montgomery County |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Aurinia Pharmaceuticals price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Aurinia Pharmaceuticals.
| Mean Return | 0.42 | Value At Risk | -3.3 | Potential Upside | 3.45 | Standard Deviation | 2.99 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Aurinia Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 995.7 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 744 K | Citigroup Inc | 2024-09-30 | 654.2 K | Trexquant Investment Lp | 2024-09-30 | 583 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 568.3 K | Segall Bryant & Hamill | 2024-09-30 | 562.8 K | Sg Americas Securities, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 547.7 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2024-09-30 | 546.9 K | Jpmorgan Chase & Co | 2024-09-30 | 502.8 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 9.3 M | Armistice Capital, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 8.2 M |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 188.1M | (33.7M) | (40.5M) | (137.7M) | (45.3M) | (43.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (63.6M) | (77.2M) | (159.2M) | (79.8M) | (34.2M) | (35.9M) | |
| Depreciation | 1.5M | 1.4M | 2.8M | 2.7M | 11.6M | 12.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 8.2M | 9.5M | 10.9M | 462K | (6.8M) | (6.5M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 104K | 7.3M | 1.5M | 292K | 718K | 1.0M | |
| Net Income | (123.8M) | (102.7M) | (181.0M) | (108.2M) | (78.0M) | (74.1M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 306.0M | 272.4M | 231.9M | 94.2M | 48.9M | 63.8M | |
| Investments | 7.8M | (150.8M) | (84.5M) | (60.6M) | (3.5M) | (3.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 21.6M | 20.1M | 42.1M | 32.8M | 37.7M | 39.6M |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Aurinia Pharmaceuticals or Biotechnology sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Aurinia stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Volatility Alert
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.13 and Jensen Alpha of 0.39. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Aurinia Pharmaceuticals and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Aurinia Pharmaceuticals or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aurinia Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Aurinia Pharmaceuticals to competition |
| Fundamentals | Aurinia Pharmaceuticals | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0578 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0216 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.10) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.17 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 1.02 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 143.18 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 7.20 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 42.66 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.53 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | (4.83) X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 3.31 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 5.83 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 175.51 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 83.38 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (63.05 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (78.02 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 391.51 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 2.76 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 97.61 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.02 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 13.09 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 2.71 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | (33.46 M) | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.22 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.15) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 10.84 | |
| Number Of Employees | 300 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.46 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 1.29 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 548.06 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (942.32 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 347.61 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 16.53 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Acquisition by Tang Kevin of 300000 shares of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals at 8.91 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Aurinia . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Aurinia Pharmaceuticals? Buying financial instruments such as Aurinia Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more detail on how to invest in Aurinia Stock please use our How to Invest in Aurinia Pharmaceuticals guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals. If investors know Aurinia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aurinia Pharmaceuticals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.15) | Revenue Per Share 1.536 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.243 | Return On Assets (0.02) | Return On Equity (0.06) |
The market value of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aurinia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aurinia Pharmaceuticals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aurinia Pharmaceuticals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.