Biglari Holdings Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| BH-A Stock | USD 1,166 9.30 0.79% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Biglari Holdings is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Biglari Holdings buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding BH-A positions.
Check out Biglari Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Biglari Stock refer to our How to Trade Biglari Stock guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Biglari and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Biglari Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Biglari |
Execute Biglari Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
The Biglari recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Biglari Holdings. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Biglari Holdings or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Biglari Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Solid | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Almost neglects market trends | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Biglari Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Biglari Holdings currently holds 101.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 57.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Biglari Holdings has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Biglari Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Biglari Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trend Tracker for - Stock Traders Daily |
Biglari Holdings Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Biglari Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Biglari Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Biglari Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Biglari Holdings price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Biglari Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Biglari Holdings.
| Mean Return | 0.50 | Value At Risk | -3.03 | Potential Upside | 4.14 | Standard Deviation | 2.19 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Biglari Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Biglari Holdings Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 15.7M | (41.0M) | 14.0M | (4.9M) | (9.2M) | (8.7M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 76.0M | 96.9M | 164.2M | 98.1M | 49.6M | 52.1M | |
| Depreciation | 29.6M | 32.2M | 30.1M | 36.4M | 39.0M | 24.6M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 17.7M | 20.7M | 64.5M | 29.7M | 23.4M | 26.2M | |
| Net Income | 45.4M | (38.0M) | 35.5M | (32.3M) | 54.9M | 57.7M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 70.7M | 29.7M | 43.7M | 38.8M | 29.7M | 36.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 59.4M | 160.3M | 167.8M | 152.0M | (23.9M) | (22.7M) | |
| Change To Inventory | (3.7M) | (7.0M) | 9.3M | (3.3M) | (3.0M) | (2.9M) | |
| Investments | (70.0M) | (6.9M) | (4.1M) | (136.6M) | (90.4M) | (94.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (8.0M) | (23.3M) | (156.2M) | 3.9M | 3.5M | 3.6M | |
| Change To Netincome | 20.9M | 6.7M | 173.0M | 136.1M | 156.5M | 164.4M |
Biglari Holdings Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Biglari Holdings or Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Biglari Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Biglari stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Biglari Holdings Volatility Alert
Biglari Holdings has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.72 and kurtosis of 6.85. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Biglari Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Biglari Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Biglari Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Biglari Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Biglari Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Biglari Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Biglari Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Biglari Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Biglari Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Biglari Holdings to competition |
| Fundamentals | Biglari Holdings | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0883 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0179 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.14 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.05 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 701.2 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 206.86 K | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.41 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 87.12 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 140 | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 2.58 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.20 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.99 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 365.32 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 152.78 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 109.62 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 54.95 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 69.14 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 111.41 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 101.24 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 57.20 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.59 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 969.66 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 73 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.40 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 177.19 X | 3.12 X |
| Number Of Employees | 2.47 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.36 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 718.65 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 859.09 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 631.46 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 41.45 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 859.09 M |
Note: Acquisition by Biglari, Sardar of 252 shares of Biglari Holdings at 826.62 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Biglari Holdings Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Biglari . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0164 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.49) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1156.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1159.33 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 19.12 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 4.91 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (9.30) |
About Biglari Holdings Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Biglari Holdings? Buying financial instruments such as Biglari Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Biglari Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For information on how to trade Biglari Stock refer to our How to Trade Biglari Stock guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.