Biglari Holdings Stock Price Prediction

BH-A Stock  USD 1,166  9.30  0.79%   
The relative strength indicator of Biglari Holdings' stock price is about 69 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Biglari, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Biglari Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Biglari Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Biglari Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
Using Biglari Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Biglari Holdings from the perspective of Biglari Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Biglari Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Biglari because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Biglari Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1197.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Biglari Stock refer to our How to Trade Biglari Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
882.24884.581,282
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,1081,1101,112
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,0911,1391,186
Details

Biglari Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Biglari Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Biglari Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Biglari Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Biglari Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Biglari Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Biglari Holdings' historical news coverage. Biglari Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1,049 and 1,200, respectively. We have considered Biglari Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1,166
1,198
After-hype Price
1,200
Upside
Biglari Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Biglari Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Biglari Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Biglari Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Biglari Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Biglari Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.71 
2.34
  31.93 
  0.15 
3 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,166
1,198
2.74 
5.20  
Notes

Biglari Holdings Hype Timeline

Biglari Holdings is currently traded for 1,166. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 31.93, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Biglari is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1197.63 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 5.2%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 2.74%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.71%. The volatility of related hype on Biglari Holdings is about 1138.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1,166. Biglari Holdings currently holds 101.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 57.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Biglari Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Biglari Stock refer to our How to Trade Biglari Stock guide.

Biglari Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Biglari Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Biglari Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Biglari Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Biglari Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BDLFlanigans Enterprises 1.69 25 per month 1.46 (0.05) 2.37 (2.37) 14.59 
RUTHRuths Hospitality Group(0.03)9 per month 0.94  0.08  1.75 (2.63) 34.37 
BJRIBJs Restaurants(1.26)7 per month 2.30  0.09  4.59 (2.89) 13.19 
CHUYChuys Holdings(0.03)9 per month 0.00  0.13  0.67 (0.27) 48.46 
EATBrinker International(1.79)11 per month 1.38  0.36  5.04 (1.82) 12.92 
BLMNBloomin Brands(0.37)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.72 (4.83) 17.75 
FRGIFiesta Restaurant Group(0.22)1 per month 2.75 (0.03) 4.69 (3.69) 12.75 
FATBBFAT Brands 0.17 2 per month 4.13 (0) 8.17 (9.39) 24.95 
PBPBPotbelly Co(0.50)8 per month 1.49  0.08  4.24 (2.29) 24.84 
STKSOne Group Hospitality 0.04 9 per month 0.00 (0.04) 5.81 (4.44) 25.60 
DENNDennys Corp 0.04 10 per month 3.63  0.02  6.40 (4.19) 26.32 

Biglari Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Biglari price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Biglari using various technical indicators. When you analyze Biglari charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Biglari Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Biglari Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Biglari Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Biglari Holdings based on analysis of Biglari Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Biglari Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Biglari Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield6.5E-56.2E-5
Price To Sales Ratio0.130.12

Story Coverage note for Biglari Holdings

The number of cover stories for Biglari Holdings depends on current market conditions and Biglari Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Biglari Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Biglari Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Biglari Holdings Short Properties

Biglari Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Biglari Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Biglari Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Biglari Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biglari Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding310.3 K
Cash And Short Term Investments119.9 M

Complementary Tools for Biglari Stock analysis

When running Biglari Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Biglari Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biglari Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Biglari Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biglari Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biglari Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biglari Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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