Barfresh Food Group Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

BRFH Stock  USD 2.94  0.04  1.38%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Barfresh Food Group is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Barfresh Food's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Barfresh Food Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Barfresh and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Barfresh Food Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Barfresh Food Buy or Sell Advice

The Barfresh recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Barfresh Food Group. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Barfresh Food Group or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Barfresh Food's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Barfresh FoodBuy Barfresh Food
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

RiskyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Barfresh Food Group has a Mean Deviation of 3.68, Standard Deviation of 5.08 and Variance of 25.78
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Barfresh Food Group. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Barfresh Food is not overpriced, please confirm all Barfresh Food Group fundamentals, including its price to book, total debt, number of employees, as well as the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . Please also double-check Barfresh Food Group number of shares shorted to validate your buy or sell decision is consistent with all fundamental data available and that the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle.

Barfresh Food Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Barfresh Food Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Barfresh Food Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Barfresh Food Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M.
Barfresh Food Group currently holds about 2.84 M in cash with (2.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22.
Barfresh Food Group has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: US Penny Stocks Spotlight Barfresh Food Group And 2 Promising Picks

Barfresh Food Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Barfresh Food's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Barfresh Food's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Barfresh Food daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Barfresh Food Group price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Barfresh Food returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Barfresh Food.
Mean Return
-0.05
Value At Risk
-7.33
Potential Upside
7.88
Standard Deviation
5.08
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Barfresh Food historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Barfresh Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
1.9 K
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
377
Goss Wealth Management Llc2024-06-30
304
Royal Bank Of Canada2024-06-30
74.0
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
20.0
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
0.0
Cambridge Invest Research Advisors, Inc.2024-06-30
0.0
Ibex Investors Llc2024-09-30
1.4 M
Bleichroeder Lp2024-09-30
1.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
355.1 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
251 K
Note, although Barfresh Food's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Barfresh Food Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash49.8K867.9K3.7M(2.7M)(1.1M)(1.1M)
Free Cash Flow(3.8M)(3.3M)(2.0M)(2.7M)(3.0M)(3.1M)
Other Non Cash Items1.2M406.1K244.6K919K18K17.1K
Capital Expenditures564.4K1.1M471.5K74.2K150.5K13K
Net Income(5.6M)(4.2M)(1.3M)(6.2M)(2.8M)(3.0M)
End Period Cash Flow1.1M2.0M5.7M3.0M1.9M2.7M
Depreciation753.5K667.5K639.4K529K403K352.9K
Change To Inventory456.9K(199.1K)164.8K(343K)(166K)(157.7K)
Net Borrowings4.1M(25.7K)354.1K(271.9K)(244.7K)(232.4K)
Change To Netincome(87.9K)(179.0K)(622.5K)1.3M1.2M619.9K
Investments(1.1M)(471.5K)(74.2K)(150.5K)(13K)0.0

Barfresh Food Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Barfresh Food or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Barfresh Food's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Barfresh stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
5.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Barfresh Food Volatility Alert

Barfresh Food Group exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.06 and kurtosis of 1.6. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Barfresh Food's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Barfresh Food's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Barfresh Food Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Barfresh Food's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Barfresh Food's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Barfresh Food and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Barfresh Food or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Barfresh Food's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Barfresh Food by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Barfresh Food to competition
FundamentalsBarfresh FoodPeer Average
Return On Equity-1.98-0.31
Return On Asset-0.44-0.14
Profit Margin(0.27) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.14) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation42.69 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding14.75 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders45.24 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions23.03 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted40.01 K4.71 M
Price To Earning(6.82) X28.72 X
Price To Book30.48 X9.51 X
Price To Sales4.40 X11.42 X
Revenue8.13 M9.43 B
Gross Profit1.44 M27.38 B
EBITDA(2.41 M)3.9 B
Net Income(2.82 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents2.84 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.22 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.31 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.01 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.10 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share0.1 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(2.96 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio3.05 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.18) X3.12 X
Target Price5.25
Number Of Employees1018.84 K
Beta0.46-0.15
Market Capitalization43.35 M19.03 B
Total Asset4.81 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(60.8 M)9.33 B
Working Capital1.85 M1.48 B
Current Asset1.98 M9.34 B
Note: Acquisition by Ware Alexander H of 5721 shares of Barfresh Food subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Barfresh Food Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Barfresh . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Barfresh Food Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Barfresh Food Group? Buying financial instruments such as Barfresh Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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When determining whether Barfresh Food Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Barfresh Food's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Barfresh Food Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Barfresh Food Group Stock:
Check out Barfresh Food Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barfresh Food. If investors know Barfresh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barfresh Food listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.18)
Revenue Per Share
0.675
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.397
Return On Assets
(0.44)
Return On Equity
(1.98)
The market value of Barfresh Food Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barfresh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barfresh Food's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barfresh Food's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barfresh Food's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barfresh Food's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barfresh Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barfresh Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barfresh Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.