Change Financial (Australia) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

CCA Stock   0.06  0  6.25%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Change Financial Limited is 'Strong Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Change Financial Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Change Financial Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Change Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Change and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Change Financial Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute Change Financial Buy or Sell Advice

The Change recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Change Financial Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Change Financial Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Change Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Change FinancialBuy Change Financial
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Out of controlDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Change Financial Limited has a Mean Deviation of 2.54, Standard Deviation of 3.49 and Variance of 12.19
We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on Change Financial. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Change Financial is not overpriced, please confirm all Change Financial fundamentals, including its return on asset, operating margin, shares outstanding, as well as the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

Change Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Change Financial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Change Financial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Change Financial has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Change Financial has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 10.51 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.57 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.42 M.
Change Financial Limited has accumulated about 1.5 M in cash with (464.97 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Multibagger penny stock hits 5 percent upper circuit on stock split, rights issue announcement Stock Market News - Mint

Change Financial Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Change Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Change Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Change Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Change Financial Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Change Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Change Financial.
Mean Return
-0.28
Value At Risk
-6.25
Potential Upside
5.41
Standard Deviation
3.49
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Change Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Change Financial Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Other Non Cash Items914.5K2.2M1.4M2.5M324.8K308.6K
Net Income(5.1M)(4.6M)(5.5M)(4.4M)(2.6M)(2.7M)
Change In Cash1.5M1.1M(2.5M)3.8M(2.8M)(2.6M)
Depreciation18.1K146.9K288.6K214.5K1.6M1.7M
End Period Cash Flow3.0M4.0M1.5M5.4M2.6M3.0M
Change To Netincome252.8K446.9K99.3K12.3K11.1K10.5K
Free Cash Flow(4.2M)(3.0M)(4.1M)(3.1M)(2.4M)(2.5M)
Net Borrowings812.0K(190.1K)764.7K(1.1M)(977.6K)(928.7K)

Change Financial Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Change Financial or Professional Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Change Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Change stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.57
σ
Overall volatility
3.51
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Change Financial Volatility Alert

Change Financial Limited exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.06 and kurtosis of 0.87. Change Financial Limited is a penny stock. Although Change Financial may be in fact a good investment, many penny stocks are subject to artificial price hype. Make sure you completely understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Change Financial Limited. We encourage investors to look for signals such as message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, email spams, sudden volume upswings, and other similar hype indicators. We also encourage traders to check biographies and work history of company officers before investing in instruments with high volatility. You can indeed make money on Change instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Change Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Change Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Change Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Change Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Change Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Change Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Change Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Change Financial to competition
FundamentalsChange FinancialPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.36-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0989-0.14
Profit Margin(0.24) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.13) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation37.37 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding686.85 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders42.00 %10.09 %
Price To Book4.44 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.87 X11.42 X
Revenue10.51 M9.43 B
Gross Profit2.42 M27.38 B
EBITDA(621.17 K)3.9 B
Net Income(2.57 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents1.5 M2.7 B
Total Debt156.93 K5.32 B
Book Value Per Share0.01 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(464.97 K)971.22 M
Earnings Per Share(0.01) X3.12 X
Target Price0.15
Number Of Employees7918.84 K
Beta0.91-0.15
Market Capitalization41.21 M19.03 B
Total Asset12.94 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(49.44 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(598.25 K)1.48 B
Net Asset12.94 M

Change Financial Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Change . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Change Financial Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Change Financial Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Change Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Change Financial in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Additional Tools for Change Stock Analysis

When running Change Financial's price analysis, check to measure Change Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Change Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Change Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Change Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Change Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Change Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.