Jaguar Mining Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| JAG Stock | CAD 2.27 0.04 1.73% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your conservative attitude towards risk, our recommendation regarding Jaguar Mining is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Jaguar Mining's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Jaguar Mining Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Jaguar and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Jaguar Mining. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Jaguar |
Execute Jaguar Mining Buy or Sell Advice
The Jaguar recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Jaguar Mining. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Jaguar Mining or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Jaguar Mining's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Jaguar Mining Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Jaguar Mining generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Jaguar Mining has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Jaguar Mining is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 55.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Jaguar Mining stock plunges after tailings pile slump forces mine shutdown - The Northern Miner |
Jaguar Mining Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Jaguar Mining's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Jaguar Mining's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Jaguar Mining daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Jaguar Mining price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Jaguar Mining returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Jaguar Mining.
| Mean Return | -1.25 | Value At Risk | -6.24 | Potential Upside | 5.00 | Standard Deviation | 4.50 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Jaguar Mining historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Jaguar Mining Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 4.6M | 28.0M | 1.5M | (15.2M) | (3.2M) | (3.0M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (7.9M) | 43.9M | 10.8M | (3.4M) | (687K) | (721.4K) | |
| Depreciation | 14.6M | 15.2M | 21.2M | 20.3M | 24.7M | 19.0M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 9.5M | 1.6M | 1.8M | (6.1M) | (52K) | (49.4K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 32.2M | 34.8M | 34.2M | 44.2M | 36.7M | 37.3M | |
| Net Income | (148K) | 72.3M | 34.2M | 21.4M | 15.9M | 16.6M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 10.9M | 38.9M | 40.4M | 25.2M | 22.0M | 23.5M | |
| Change To Inventory | 107K | (873K) | 223K | (1.3M) | 792K | 831.6K | |
| Investments | (32.0M) | (34.7M) | (27M) | (43.7M) | (35.8M) | (37.6M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (13.0M) | (4.6M) | (2.9M) | (2.6M) | (2.4M) | (2.5M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 8.8M | (2.2M) | 2.1M | 6.9M | 6.2M | 5.9M |
Jaguar Mining Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Jaguar Mining or Metals & Mining sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Jaguar Mining's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Jaguar stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Jaguar Mining Volatility Alert
Jaguar Mining exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -3.05 and kurtosis of 16.0. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Jaguar Mining's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Jaguar Mining's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Jaguar Mining Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Jaguar Mining's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Jaguar Mining's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Jaguar Mining and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Jaguar Mining or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Jaguar Mining's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Jaguar Mining by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Jaguar Mining to competition |
| Fundamentals | Jaguar Mining | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.12 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0608 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.19 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.19 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 131.9 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 79.31 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 55.00 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 9.58 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 497.65 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 17.78 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.48 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.18 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 136.53 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 57.66 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 42.97 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 15.85 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 25.21 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.42 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 5.84 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.02 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.27 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 36.04 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 4.33 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.53 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 4.63 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.06 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.62 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 180.03 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 309.12 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (361.78 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 12.62 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 34.47 M | 9.34 B |
Jaguar Mining Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Jaguar . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Jaguar Mining Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Jaguar Mining? Buying financial instruments such as Jaguar Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Other Information on Investing in Jaguar Stock
Jaguar Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jaguar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jaguar with respect to the benefits of owning Jaguar Mining security.