Grand Canyon Education Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| LOPE Stock | USD 164.79 1.85 1.11% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Grand Canyon Education is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Grand Canyon buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding LOPE positions.
Check out Grand Canyon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Grand and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Grand Canyon Education. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
Grand |
Execute Grand Canyon Buy or Sell Advice
The Grand recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Grand Canyon Education. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Grand Canyon Education or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Grand Canyon's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Over hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Grand Canyon Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Grand Canyon has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: PRDO or LOPE Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now |
Grand Canyon Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Grand Canyon's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Grand Canyon's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Grand Canyon daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Grand Canyon Education price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Grand Canyon returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Grand Canyon.
| Mean Return | 0.25 | Value At Risk | -2.06 | Potential Upside | 2.20 | Standard Deviation | 2.27 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Grand Canyon historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Grand Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 538.5 K | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 518.3 K | Wasatch Advisors Lp | 2024-09-30 | 513.8 K | Thrivent Financial For Lutherans | 2024-09-30 | 423.6 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 389.2 K | Massachusetts Financial Services Company | 2024-09-30 | 385.2 K | Los Angeles Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 372.6 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 362.2 K | Norges Bank | 2024-06-30 | 358.1 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 2.9 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 2.9 M |
Grand Canyon Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (59.4M) | 123.2M | 355.2M | (480.5M) | 26.1M | 27.4M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 283.7M | 278.9M | 283.7M | 185.2M | 198.2M | 208.1M | |
| Depreciation | 26.9M | 29.7M | 30.4M | 31.2M | 32.0M | 27.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 3.6M | 571K | (4.3M) | 853K | (442K) | (419.9K) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 22.7M | 29.9M | 29.4M | 35.6M | 45.4M | 87.3M | |
| Net Income | 259.2M | 257.2M | 260.3M | 184.7M | 205.0M | 139.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 122.6M | 245.8M | 600.9M | 120.4M | 146.5M | 131.5M | |
| Change To Netincome | 11.6M | 14.4M | 12.9M | 13.9M | 12.5M | 18.7M | |
| Change To Inventory | (14.1M) | 7.2M | 18.0M | 3.9M | 3.5M | 3.2M | |
| Change Receivables | 766K | (13.3M) | (2.9M) | (7.4M) | (8.5M) | (8.9M) | |
| Net Borrowings | (6.7M) | 80.2M | (33.1M) | (107.8M) | (97.0M) | (92.1M) | |
| Investments | 47.8M | 85.6M | 1.2B | (61.5M) | (72.4M) | (68.7M) |
Grand Canyon Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grand Canyon or Diversified Consumer Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grand Canyon's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grand stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Grand Canyon Volatility Alert
Grand Canyon Education has relatively low volatility with skewness of 4.04 and kurtosis of 24.66. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Grand Canyon's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Grand Canyon's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Grand Canyon Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Grand Canyon's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Grand Canyon's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Grand Canyon and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Grand Canyon or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Grand Canyon's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grand Canyon by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Grand Canyon to competition |
| Fundamentals | Grand Canyon | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.32 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.18 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.20 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 4.7 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 29.15 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.07 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.41 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 383.77 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 20.49 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 6.36 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.77 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 960.9 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 487.5 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 291.68 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 204.99 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 203.27 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 6.46 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 99.28 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.1 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.41 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 26.47 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 243.66 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 1.74 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 7.53 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 1.26 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 179.67 | |
| Number Of Employees | 4.07 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.7 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.86 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 930.46 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.24 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 240.49 M | 1.48 B |
Note: Disposition of 7700 shares by Brian Mueller of Grand Canyon at 171.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Grand Canyon Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Grand . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0191 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.58) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 165.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 165.23 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.59) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.85) |
About Grand Canyon Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Grand Canyon Education? Buying financial instruments such as Grand Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Check out Grand Canyon Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grand Canyon. If investors know Grand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grand Canyon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.193 | Earnings Share 7.53 | Revenue Per Share 34.74 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.074 | Return On Assets 0.184 |
The market value of Grand Canyon Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grand Canyon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grand Canyon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grand Canyon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grand Canyon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grand Canyon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grand Canyon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grand Canyon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.