Grand Canyon Education Stock Beneish M Score

LOPE Stock  USD 164.79  1.85  1.11%   
This module uses fundamental data of Grand Canyon to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Grand Canyon M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Grand Canyon Piotroski F Score and Grand Canyon Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At present, Grand Canyon's Total Debt To Capitalization is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is expected to grow to 23.21, whereas Net Debt is forecasted to decline to (49.6 M). At present, Grand Canyon's Book Value Per Share is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Free Cash Flow Yield is expected to grow to 0.05, whereas Dividend Yield is forecasted to decline to 0.
At this time, it appears that Grand Canyon Education is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Grand Canyon's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Grand Canyon executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Grand Canyon's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-2.49
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.57

Focus
Asset Quality

0.81

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.42

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.22

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.42

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.7

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.67

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

1.76

Focus

Grand Canyon Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Grand Canyon's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables84.1 M80.1 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Total Revenue643.9 M960.9 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Assets858.6 M930.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets255.5 M337.5 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total603.1 M592.9 M
Fairly Up
Slightly volatile
Property Plant Equipment301.6 M169.6 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization31.1 M32 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative41.1 M43.2 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities130.6 M97 M
Significantly Up
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total87.9 M115.4 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Short Term Debt15.9 M22 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Debt60.5 M85.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Operating Income174.4 M249.3 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities182.4 M243.7 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments1.2 B1.1 B
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.640.5242
Fairly Up
Very volatile

Grand Canyon Education Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Grand Canyon's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Grand Canyon in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Grand Canyon's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Grand Canyon Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Depreciation And Amortization

31.1 Million

At present, Grand Canyon's Depreciation And Amortization is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting.

Grand Canyon Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Grand Canyon. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables56.1M68.5M71.3M80.2M80.1M84.1M
Total Revenue778.6M844.1M896.6M911.3M960.9M643.9M
Total Assets1.7B1.8B1.2B832.7M930.5M858.6M
Total Current Assets208.3M333.7M681.0M273.3M337.5M255.5M
Net Debt47.2M(74.0M)(539.8M)(43.0M)(47.2M)(49.6M)
Short Term Debt36.2M47.9M14.9M17.3M22.0M15.9M
Long Term Debt59.9M23.4M107.8M74.6M85.8M60.5M
Operating Income265.1M277.4M282.2M237.5M249.3M174.4M
Investments47.8M85.6M1.2B(61.5M)(72.4M)(68.7M)

Grand Canyon ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Grand Canyon's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Grand Canyon's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Grand Canyon Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Grand Canyon Education's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Grand Canyon using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grand Canyon Education based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether Grand Canyon Education is a strong investment it is important to analyze Grand Canyon's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Grand Canyon's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Grand Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Grand Canyon Piotroski F Score and Grand Canyon Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Diversified Consumer Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grand Canyon. If investors know Grand will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grand Canyon listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.193
Earnings Share
7.53
Revenue Per Share
34.74
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.074
Return On Assets
0.184
The market value of Grand Canyon Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grand that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grand Canyon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grand Canyon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grand Canyon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grand Canyon's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grand Canyon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grand Canyon is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grand Canyon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.