Nike Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NKE Stock  USD 78.34  0.73  0.94%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Nike Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Nike buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Nike positions.
  
Check out Nike Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Nike and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Nike Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Nike Buy or Sell Advice

The Nike recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Nike Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Nike Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Nike's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell NikeBuy Nike
Strong Hold

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Nike Inc has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), Jensen Alpha of (0.15), Total Risk Alpha of (0.38) and Treynor Ratio of (0.35)
Macroaxis provides unbiased advice on Nike Inc that should be used to complement current analysts and expert consensus on Nike. Our investment recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investors' current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Nike Inc is not overpriced, please verify all Nike Inc fundamentals, including its cash per share, price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Nike Inc has a price to earning of 30.18 X, we recommend you to check Nike market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Nike Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Nike Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 1st of October 2024 Nike paid $ 0.37 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: A Look At The Fair Value Of NIKE, Inc.

Nike Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Nike's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Nike's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Nike daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Nike Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Nike returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Nike.
Mean Return
-0.11
Value At Risk
-2.49
Potential Upside
2.37
Standard Deviation
1.77
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Nike historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Nike Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
16.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
14.7 M
Norges Bank2024-06-30
14.2 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
13.5 M
Wells Fargo & Co2024-06-30
13.4 M
Alliancebernstein L.p.2024-06-30
12.3 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
11.2 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
11 M
Bank Of America Corp2024-06-30
10.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
110.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
91.5 M
Note, although Nike's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Nike Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(1.9B)507M(1.7B)(133M)908M953.4M
Change In Cash3.9B1.5B(1.3B)(1.1B)2.4B2.5B
Free Cash Flow1.4B6.0B4.4B4.9B6.6B6.9B
Depreciation1.1B797M840M859M796M432.9M
Other Non Cash Items23M(138M)(26M)(213M)(90M)(85.5M)
Dividends Paid1.5B1.6B1.8B2.0B2.2B2.3B
Capital Expenditures1.1B695M758M969M812M553.3M
Net Income2.5B5.7B6.0B5.1B5.7B6.0B
End Period Cash Flow8.3B9.9B8.6B7.4B9.9B10.4B
Investments27M(3.3B)(747M)1.5B894M938.7M
Change Receivables1.2B(1.6B)(504M)489M440.1M462.1M
Net Borrowings6.2B(249M)15M(504M)(579.6M)(550.6M)
Change To Netincome72M88M(38M)425M488.8M513.2M

Nike Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Nike or Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Nike's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Nike stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Nike Volatility Alert

Nike Inc exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.07 and kurtosis of 5.19. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Nike's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Nike's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Nike Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Nike's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Nike's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Nike and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Nike or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Nike's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nike by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Nike to competition
FundamentalsNikePeer Average
Return On Equity0.38-0.31
Return On Asset0.11-0.14
Profit Margin0.11 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation117.35 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.19 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders1.69 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions81.79 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted24.89 M4.71 M
Price To Earning30.18 X28.72 X
Price To Book8.28 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.33 X11.42 X
Revenue51.36 B9.43 B
Gross Profit21.48 B27.38 B
EBITDA7.16 B3.9 B
Net Income5.7 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.44 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share7.59 X5.01 X
Total Debt11.95 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.80 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.64 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.35 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations7.43 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.64 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.49 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth3.93 X4.89 X
Target Price91.13
Number Of Employees79.4 K18.84 K
Beta1.03-0.15
Market Capitalization116.61 B19.03 B
Total Asset38.11 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings965 M9.33 B
Working Capital14.79 B1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 282 shares by Johanna Nielsen of Nike at 93.64 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Nike Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Nike . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Nike Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Nike Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Nike Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Nike in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Retail Thematic Idea Now

Retail
Retail Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Retail theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Retail Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Nike Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Nike's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Nike's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Nike Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Nike Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nike. If investors know Nike will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nike listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Dividend Share
1.48
Earnings Share
3.49
Revenue Per Share
33.122
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
The market value of Nike Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nike that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nike's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nike's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nike's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nike's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nike's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nike is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nike's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.