National Presto Industries Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| NPK Stock | USD 78.58 0.06 0.08% |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding National Presto Industries is 'Strong Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of National Presto's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out National Presto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as National and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. National Presto Industries. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.
National |
Execute National Presto Buy or Sell Advice
The National recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on National Presto Industries. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in National Presto Industries or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute National Presto's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Sell | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Strong | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
National Presto Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| National Presto Indu has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Why Is National Presto Industries, Inc. Among the Best Small Cap Defense Stocks to Buy Now |
National Presto Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of National Presto's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of National Presto's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of National Presto daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use National Presto Industries price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of National Presto returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for National Presto.
| Mean Return | 0.07 | Value At Risk | -2.44 | Potential Upside | 2.43 | Standard Deviation | 1.53 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of National Presto historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
National Stock Institutional Investors
| Shares | Kennedy Capital Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 82.2 K | Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management Llc | 2024-09-30 | 81.1 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-06-30 | 69 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 66.5 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 51.9 K | Aqr Capital Management Llc | 2024-06-30 | 50.4 K | Hrt Financial Llc | 2024-06-30 | 44.5 K | Jane Street Group Llc | 2024-06-30 | 38.2 K | Wallace Capital Management, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 36.3 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 881 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2024-09-30 | 356.9 K |
National Presto Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 22.7M | 6.5M | 23.8M | (39.1M) | 16.9M | 17.8M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 6.4M | 38.4M | 31.8M | 7.7M | 43.5M | 25.9M | |
| Depreciation | 3.7M | 3.0M | 3.0M | 3.3M | 6.0M | 5.7M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (1.8M) | 131K | 923K | 6.7M | 1.4M | 1.5M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 3.1M | 2.6M | 2.9M | 1.0M | 1.8M | 1.7M | |
| Net Income | 42.2M | 47.0M | 25.7M | 20.7M | 34.6M | 32.3M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 79.6M | 86.0M | 109.8M | 70.7M | 87.7M | 60.1M | |
| Change To Inventory | (34.2M) | (7.0M) | (10.1M) | (5.6M) | (38.6M) | (36.7M) | |
| Dividends Paid | 42.1M | 42.2M | 44.1M | 31.8M | 28.4M | 29.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | (361K) | (864K) | 7.5M | 3.6M | 3.3M | 3.4M | |
| Investments | 58.2M | 9.8M | 35.2M | 9.3M | (447K) | (424.7K) | |
| Change Receivables | 10.9M | (12.2M) | 1.1M | (12.9M) | (11.6M) | (11.0M) |
National Presto Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to National Presto or Aerospace & Defense sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that National Presto's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a National stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.53 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
National Presto Volatility Alert
National Presto Industries has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.28 and kurtosis of 0.91. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure National Presto's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact National Presto's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.National Presto Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing National Presto's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze National Presto's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between National Presto and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as National Presto or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of National Presto's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing National Presto by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare National Presto to competition |
| Fundamentals | National Presto | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0983 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.052 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.1 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.10 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 534.92 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 7.1 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 28.14 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 57.83 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 123.69 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 10.46 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 1.61 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.59 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 340.91 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 55.12 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 41.04 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 34.56 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 70.71 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.60 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 10.66 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.03 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 6.72 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 48.81 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 45.39 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.64 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 4.76 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 18.93 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.01 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.62 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 557.95 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 440.54 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 344.25 M | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 288.09 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 271.58 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of tradable shares by Jeffery Morgan of National Presto at 76.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
National Presto Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as National . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About National Presto Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell National Presto Industries? Buying financial instruments such as National Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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In addition to having National Presto in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Check out National Presto Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Presto. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Presto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.148 | Dividend Share 1 | Earnings Share 4.76 | Revenue Per Share 49.414 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of National Presto Indu is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Presto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Presto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Presto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Presto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Presto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Presto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Presto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.