National Presto Industries Stock Beneish M Score

NPK Stock  USD 78.58  0.06  0.08%   
This module uses fundamental data of National Presto to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. National Presto M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out National Presto Piotroski F Score and National Presto Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, National Presto's Short Term Debt is quite stable compared to the past year. Long Term Debt To Capitalization is expected to rise to 0.03 this year, although the value of Net Debt To EBITDA will most likely fall to (1.97). At this time, National Presto's Days Payables Outstanding is quite stable compared to the past year. EV To Operating Cash Flow is expected to rise to 11.48 this year, although Book Value Per Share will most likely fall to 31.50.
At this time, it appears that National Presto Indu is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if National Presto's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by National Presto executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of National Presto's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-4.15
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

1.52

Focus
Asset Quality

-0.0719

Focus
Expense Coverage

1.07

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.62

Focus
Accruals Factor

1.07

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.2

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.78

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

6.89

Focus

National Presto Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if National Presto's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables60.1 M50.4 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Total Revenue267 M340.9 M
Significantly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Assets362.1 M440.5 M
Significantly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Assets308.9 M360.1 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total52.4 M80.4 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Property Plant Equipment55.5 M48.1 M
Fairly Up
Pretty Stable
Depreciation And Amortization5.6 MM
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative25.6 M30.6 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Total Current Liabilities52.7 M72 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total10.7 M12.3 M
Fairly Down
Very volatile
Operating Income38.8 M35 M
Significantly Up
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities33.5 M45.4 M
Way Down
Pretty Stable
Short Term Investments25.1 M26.5 M
Notably Down
Slightly volatile
Long Term Investments6.3 M8.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.320.1979
Way Up
Pretty Stable

National Presto Indu Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between National Presto's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards National Presto in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find National Presto's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About National Presto Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

228.25 Million

At this time, National Presto's Other Operating Expenses is quite stable compared to the past year.

National Presto Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as National Presto. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Net Receivables44.3M56.5M55.7M73.3M50.4M60.1M
Total Revenue308.5M352.6M355.8M321.6M340.9M267.0M
Total Assets410.3M433.2M420.4M411.8M440.5M362.1M
Total Current Assets337.8M357.2M348.1M326.6M360.1M308.9M
Net Debt(76.1M)(82.7M)(99.6M)(60.0M)(77.0M)(80.8M)
Short Term Debt520K1.1M1.1M577K678K1.3M
Operating Income46.4M56.2M30.0M32.7M35.0M38.8M
Investments58.2M9.8M35.2M9.3M(447K)(424.7K)

National Presto ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, National Presto's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to National Presto's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About National Presto Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze National Presto Industries's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of National Presto using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Presto Industries based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

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When determining whether National Presto Indu is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if National Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about National Presto Industries Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about National Presto Industries Stock:
Check out National Presto Piotroski F Score and National Presto Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Aerospace & Defense space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Presto. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Presto listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.148
Dividend Share
1
Earnings Share
4.76
Revenue Per Share
49.414
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.104
The market value of National Presto Indu is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Presto's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Presto's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Presto's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Presto's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Presto's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Presto is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Presto's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.