Natuzzi Spa Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

NTZ Stock  USD 4.70  0.16  3.29%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Natuzzi SpA is 'Sell'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Natuzzi SpA given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Natuzzi SpA. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Natuzzi SpA, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Natuzzi SpA Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Natuzzi Stock please use our How to Invest in Natuzzi SpA guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Natuzzi and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Natuzzi SpA. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute Natuzzi SpA Buy or Sell Advice

The Natuzzi recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Natuzzi SpA. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Natuzzi SpA or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Natuzzi SpA's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Natuzzi SpABuy Natuzzi SpA
Sell

Market Performance

InsignificantDetails

Volatility

Relatively riskyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Below AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Responds to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong SellDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Natuzzi SpA has a Mean Deviation of 3.12, Semi Deviation of 3.62, Standard Deviation of 4.55, Variance of 20.68, Downside Variance of 19.8 and Semi Variance of 13.09
We provide investment recommendation to complement the last-minute expert consensus on Natuzzi SpA. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the entity's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Natuzzi SpA is not overpriced, please verify all Natuzzi SpA fundamentals, including its cash per share, short ratio, and the relationship between the ebitda and current ratio . Given that Natuzzi SpA has a number of shares shorted of 1.26 K, we recommend you to check Natuzzi SpA market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Natuzzi SpA Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Natuzzi SpA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 328.62 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (16.16 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 169.03 M.
Natuzzi SpA has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Natuzzi Stock Surges Amid Market Volatility

Natuzzi SpA Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Natuzzi SpA's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Natuzzi SpA's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Natuzzi SpA daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Natuzzi SpA price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Natuzzi SpA returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Natuzzi SpA.
Mean Return
0.27
Value At Risk
-5.44
Potential Upside
8.75
Standard Deviation
4.55
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Natuzzi SpA historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Natuzzi Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Natuzzi SpA, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Natuzzi SpA back and forth among themselves.
Shares
Kanen Wealth Management Llc2024-09-30
1.6 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
236.7 K
Benjamin F. Edwards & Company, Llc2024-06-30
121.3 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
14.9 K
Ubs Group Ag2024-06-30
8.5 K
Bnp Paribas Arbitrage, Sa2024-06-30
600
Aspire Private Capital, Llc2024-09-30
30.0
Creekmur Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
11.0
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
0.0
Note, although Natuzzi SpA's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Natuzzi SpA Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory14.5M4.8M(16M)10.1M8.0M8.4M
Change In Cash(22.6M)8.3M6.1M500K(21.1M)(20.1M)
Free Cash Flow(18K)9.4M(4.5M)9.1M(8.6M)(8.2M)
Depreciation25.1M24.2M21.4M21.7M22.4M20.3M
Other Non Cash Items492K(928K)1.6M(6.5M)(7.9M)(7.5M)
Capital Expenditures4.7M2.9M5.0M9.6M11.8M14.9M
Net Income(33.7M)(24.9M)4.4M1.3M(16.2M)(15.4M)
End Period Cash Flow37.8M46.1M52.2M52.7M31.6M60.6M
Change To Netincome(316K)37M(11.2M)(2.4M)(2.2M)(2.0M)
Net Borrowings(24.5M)(5.2M)(2.8M)(17.9M)(16.1M)(15.3M)
Investments(3.3M)2.3M7M(4.7M)(9.8M)(9.4M)

Natuzzi SpA Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Natuzzi SpA or Household Durables sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Natuzzi SpA's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Natuzzi stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.38
σ
Overall volatility
4.83
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Natuzzi SpA Volatility Alert

Natuzzi SpA shows above-average downside volatility for the selected time horizon. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Natuzzi SpA's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Natuzzi SpA's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Natuzzi SpA Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Natuzzi SpA's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Natuzzi SpA's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Natuzzi SpA and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Natuzzi SpA or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Natuzzi SpA's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Natuzzi SpA by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Natuzzi SpA to competition
FundamentalsNatuzzi SpAPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.21-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0025-0.14
Profit Margin(0.05) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.01 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation125.49 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding11.01 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders56.23 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions18.29 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.26 K4.71 M
Price To Earning27.77 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.79 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.16 X11.42 X
Revenue328.62 M9.43 B
Gross Profit169.03 M27.38 B
EBITDA14.41 M3.9 B
Net Income(16.16 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents54.48 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share5.86 X5.01 X
Total Debt102.51 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.34 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share6.26 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations3.21 M971.22 M
Short Ratio0.44 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(1.56) X3.12 X
Target Price6.5
Number Of Employees3.59 K18.84 K
Beta1.28-0.15
Market Capitalization53.53 M19.03 B
Total Asset338.35 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(6.58 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(4.93 M)1.48 B
Current Asset211 M9.34 B

Natuzzi SpA Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Natuzzi . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Natuzzi SpA Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Natuzzi SpA? Buying financial instruments such as Natuzzi Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Additional Tools for Natuzzi Stock Analysis

When running Natuzzi SpA's price analysis, check to measure Natuzzi SpA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Natuzzi SpA is operating at the current time. Most of Natuzzi SpA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Natuzzi SpA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Natuzzi SpA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Natuzzi SpA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.