Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OLLI Stock  USD 117.91  0.28  0.24%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ollies Bargain Outlet is 'Buy'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Ollies Bargain's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Ollies Bargain Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Ollies and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Ollies Bargain Outlet. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of economic analysis.

Execute Ollies Bargain Buy or Sell Advice

The Ollies recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ollies Bargain Outlet. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ollies Bargain Outlet or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ollies Bargain's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Ollies BargainBuy Ollies Bargain
Buy

Market Performance

OKDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Ollies Bargain Outlet has a Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1042, Jensen Alpha of 0.2908, Total Risk Alpha of 0.2331, Sortino Ratio of 0.1411 and Treynor Ratio of 0.4756
Macroaxis provides advice on Ollies Bargain Outlet to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Ollies Bargain Outlet. Our recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Ollies Bargain is not overpriced, please check all Ollies Bargain Outlet fundamentals, including its price to earning, cash per share, price to earnings to growth, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and book value per share . Given that Ollies Bargain Outlet has a price to earning of 16.35 X, we recommend you to check out Ollies Bargain Outlet market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Ollies Bargain Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Ollies Bargain Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Ollies Bargain's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ollies Bargain's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ollies Bargain daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ollies Bargain Outlet price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ollies Bargain returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ollies Bargain.
Mean Return
0.31
Value At Risk
-2.56
Potential Upside
3.66
Standard Deviation
2.57
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ollies Bargain historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Ollies Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Geneva Capital Management2024-09-30
1.1 M
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2024-09-30
901.3 K
Junto Capital Management Lp2024-09-30
883.6 K
Fred Alger Management, Llc2024-09-30
772.1 K
Hood River Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
766 K
Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc2024-09-30
753.7 K
Norges Bank2024-06-30
738.9 K
T. Rowe Price Investment Management,inc.2024-09-30
731.4 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
8.9 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
5.8 M
Note, although Ollies Bargain's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Ollies Bargain Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(38.8M)(18.5M)(113.6M)(3.2M)(35.3M)(37.0M)
Change In Cash38.0M357.2M(200.1M)(36.4M)55.7M58.4M
Free Cash Flow28.4M330.7M10.0M62.7M130.1M80.0M
Depreciation17.5M22.5M24.9M28.7M34.9M19.3M
Other Non Cash Items222K254K43K(69K)(760K)(722K)
Capital Expenditures77.0M30.6M35.0M51.7M124.4M130.6M
Net Income141.1M242.7M157.5M102.8M181.4M123.0M
End Period Cash Flow90.0M447.1M247.0M210.6M266.3M151.5M
Change To Netincome11.0M12.2M8.9M14.1M16.2M17.0M
Net Borrowings(49.0M)(460K)(429K)(684K)(786.6K)(825.9K)
Investments(34.1M)(30.4M)(31.8M)(60.2M)(150.1M)(142.6M)

Ollies Bargain Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ollies Bargain or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ollies Bargain's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ollies stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.64
σ
Overall volatility
2.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Ollies Bargain Volatility Alert

Ollies Bargain Outlet has relatively low volatility with skewness of 1.91 and kurtosis of 9.45. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ollies Bargain's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ollies Bargain's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Ollies Bargain Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Ollies Bargain's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ollies Bargain's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ollies Bargain and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ollies Bargain or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ollies Bargain's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ollies Bargain by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Ollies Bargain to competition
FundamentalsOllies BargainPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0701-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.11 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation7.48 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding61.28 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.25 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions99.75 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted4.16 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.35 X28.72 X
Price To Book4.47 X9.51 X
Price To Sales3.26 X11.42 X
Revenue2.1 B9.43 B
Gross Profit681.25 M27.38 B
EBITDA277.42 M3.9 B
Net Income181.44 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents218.04 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share3.48 X5.01 X
Total Debt488.75 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.34 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.85 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share24.54 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations254.5 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share3.36 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.08 X4.89 X
Target Price124.47
Number Of Employees5.5 K18.84 K
Beta0.84-0.15
Market Capitalization7.23 B19.03 B
Total Asset2.29 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings1.17 B9.33 B
Working Capital555.88 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1122 shares by Van Der Valk Eric of Ollies Bargain at 84.35 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Ollies Bargain Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ollies . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Ollies Bargain Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Ollies Bargain Outlet? Buying financial instruments such as Ollies Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Ollies Bargain in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Shipping Containers
Shipping Containers Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Shipping Containers theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Shipping Containers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Ollies Bargain Outlet offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ollies Bargain's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ollies Bargain Outlet Stock:
Check out Ollies Bargain Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Broadline Retail space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ollies Bargain. If investors know Ollies will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ollies Bargain listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.162
Earnings Share
3.36
Revenue Per Share
36.047
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.124
Return On Assets
0.0701
The market value of Ollies Bargain Outlet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ollies that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ollies Bargain's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ollies Bargain's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ollies Bargain's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ollies Bargain's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ollies Bargain's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ollies Bargain is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ollies Bargain's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.