Ollies Bargain Valuation

OLLI Stock  USD 117.91  0.28  0.24%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Ollies Bargain Outlet holds a recent Real Value of $106.98 per share. The prevailing price of the company is $117.91. Our model determines the value of Ollies Bargain Outlet from analyzing the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 61.28 M, operating margin of 0.11 %, and Return On Equity of 0.14 as well as examining its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting Ollies Bargain's valuation include:
Price Book
4.4687
Enterprise Value
7.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
23.6218
Price Sales
3.2602
Forward PE
31.0559
Overvalued
Today
117.91
Please note that Ollies Bargain's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Ollies Bargain Outlet is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Ollies Bargain's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Since Ollies Bargain is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Ollies Stock. However, Ollies Bargain's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  117.91 Real  106.98 Target  83.93 Hype  117.37 Naive  120.82
The intrinsic value of Ollies Bargain's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence Ollies Bargain's stock price.
104.41
Downside
106.98
Real Value
129.70
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Ollies Bargain Outlet helps investors to forecast how Ollies stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Ollies Bargain more accurately as focusing exclusively on Ollies Bargain's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
0.810.820.83
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
114.80117.37119.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
118.26120.82123.39
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
76.3883.9393.16
Details
When choosing an evaluation method for Ollies Bargain Outlet, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using all methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Ollies Bargain Cash

151.51 Million

Ollies Valuation Trend

Ollies Bargain's real value analysis enables investors to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Ollies Bargain's enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing decisions.

Ollies Bargain Total Value Analysis

Ollies Bargain Outlet is now expected to have valuation of 7.48 B with market capitalization of 7.23 B, debt of 488.75 M, and cash on hands of 218.04 M. Please note that valuation may be misleading and is a subject to auditing or accounting errors. We encourage investors to vigilantly validate all of the Ollies Bargain fundamentals before making equity appraisal based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
7.48 B
7.23 B
488.75 M
218.04 M

Ollies Bargain Investor Information

About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Ollies Bargain was now reported as 24.54. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.08. Ollies Bargain Outlet had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the analysis of Ollies Bargain's profitability, liquidity, and operating efficiency, Ollies Bargain Outlet is not in a good financial situation at the moment. It has a very high risk of going through financial straits in January.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Operating Profit Margin0.09840.1083
Moderately Down
Slightly volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities267.2 M254.5 M
Sufficiently Up
Slightly volatile
Operating Income160.5 M227.8 M
Way Down
Slightly volatile

Ollies Bargain Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. Ollies Bargain has an asset utilization ratio of 91.64 percent. This signifies that the Company is making $0.92 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that Ollies Bargain Outlet is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid

Ollies Bargain Ownership Allocation

The majority of Ollies Bargain Outlet outstanding shares are owned by third-party entities. These institutional holders are usually referred to as non-private investors looking to secure positions in Ollies Bargain Outlet to benefit from reduced commissions. Consequently, institutional investors are subject to a different set of regulations than regular investors in Ollies Bargain. Please pay attention to any change in the institutional holdings of Ollies Bargain Outlet as this could imply that something significant has changed or is about to change at the company. On January 26, 2024, Senator Markwayne Mullin of US Senate acquired under $15k worth of Ollies Bargain Outlet's common stock.

Ollies Bargain Profitability Analysis

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.1 B. Net Income was 181.44 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 681.25 M.

About Ollies Bargain Valuation

An absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to Ollies Stock, attempts to find the value of Ollies Bargain Outlet based on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Ollies Bargain's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Ollies Bargain's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Ollies Bargain. We calculate exposure to Ollies Bargain's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of Ollies Bargain's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit832.4 M551.2 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.12  0.07 
Operating Profit Margin 0.11  0.10 
Net Profit Margin 0.09  0.04 
Gross Profit Margin 0.40  0.40 

Ollies Bargain Quarterly Retained Earnings

1.3 Billion

Ollies Bargain Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.1 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.162
Forward Price Earnings31.0559

Ollies Bargain Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Ollies Bargain Outlet and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Ollies we look at many different elements of the entity such as Ollies's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Ollies Bargain, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Ollies Bargain's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Ollies Bargain's worth.

Complementary Tools for Ollies Stock analysis

When running Ollies Bargain's price analysis, check to measure Ollies Bargain's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ollies Bargain is operating at the current time. Most of Ollies Bargain's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ollies Bargain's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ollies Bargain's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ollies Bargain to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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