Optinose Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OPTN Stock  USD 0.54  0.04  8.00%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding OptiNose is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of OptiNose's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out OptiNose Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in OptiNose Stock, please use our How to Invest in OptiNose guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as OptiNose and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards OptiNose. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in estimate.

Execute OptiNose Buy or Sell Advice

The OptiNose recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on OptiNose. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in OptiNose or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute OptiNose's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell OptiNoseBuy OptiNose
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Extremely DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

Over hypedDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very HighDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Hyperactively responds to market trendsDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

FrailDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon OptiNose has a Mean Deviation of 4.34, Standard Deviation of 6.25 and Variance of 39.12
We provide trade recommendations to complement the recent expert consensus on OptiNose. Our dynamic recommendation engine exercises a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure OptiNose is not overpriced, please check all OptiNose fundamentals, including its gross profit, earnings per share, current liabilities, as well as the relationship between the total debt and market capitalization . As OptiNose appears to be a penny stock we also advise to check out its number of shares shorted numbers.

OptiNose Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

OptiNose generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
OptiNose has high historical volatility and very poor performance
OptiNose has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
OptiNose has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 70.99 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.48 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 67.01 M.
OptiNose currently holds about 78.26 M in cash with (20.53 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.94, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
OptiNose has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Optinose to Present at the Piper Sandler 36th Annual Healthcare Conference

OptiNose Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of OptiNose's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of OptiNose's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of OptiNose daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use OptiNose price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of OptiNose returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for OptiNose.
Mean Return
-0.83
Value At Risk
-11.36
Potential Upside
8.57
Standard Deviation
6.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of OptiNose historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

OptiNose Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as OptiNose, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OptiNose back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
3.1 M
Easterly Investment Partners.2024-09-30
2.4 M
Velan Capital Investment Management Lp2024-09-30
2.1 M
Geode Capital Management, Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Prescott Group Capital Management Llc2024-09-30
1.3 M
Rice Hall James & Associates, Llc2024-09-30
1.1 M
Gmt Capital Corp2024-09-30
1.1 M
J. Goldman & Co Lp2024-09-30
675 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-09-30
629.1 K
Fmr Inc2024-09-30
16.5 M
Mvm Partners Llc2024-09-30
14.6 M
Note, although OptiNose's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

OptiNose Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory3.8M(5.4M)(2.7M)2.5M1.3M1.3M
Change In Cash(53.8M)(3.0M)(33.7M)(16.3M)(20.6M)(19.5M)
Net Borrowings(84.9M)(4.5M)(227K)(298K)(268.2K)(254.8K)
Free Cash Flow(91.4M)(86.8M)(77.1M)(67.7M)(20.9M)(21.9M)
Depreciation1.1M1.5M646K532K402K611.7K
Other Non Cash Items658K1.2M1.8M3.5M(2.6M)(2.5M)
Capital Expenditures557K546K167K63K328K538.0K
Net Income(110.1M)(99.8M)(82.3M)(74.8M)(35.5M)(37.3M)
End Period Cash Flow147.2M144.2M110.5M94.2M73.7M129.3M
Change To Netincome17.0M11.0M9.7M10.1M11.6M8.6M
Investments(557K)(546K)(62K)(63K)(328K)(344.4K)
Change Receivables(11.3M)(10.4M)(11.8M)1.5M1.7M1.8M

OptiNose Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to OptiNose or Pharmaceuticals sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that OptiNose's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a OptiNose stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.96
σ
Overall volatility
6.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

OptiNose Volatility Alert

OptiNose is displaying above-average volatility over the selected time horizon. OptiNose is a potential penny stock. Although OptiNose may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in OptiNose. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on OptiNose instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

OptiNose Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing OptiNose's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze OptiNose's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between OptiNose and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as OptiNose or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of OptiNose's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OptiNose by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare OptiNose to competition
FundamentalsOptiNosePeer Average
Return On Equity-10.5-0.31
Return On Asset-0.1-0.14
Profit Margin(0.41) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.10) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation119.92 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding150.83 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.22 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions78.46 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.07 M4.71 M
Price To Earning(3.41) X28.72 X
Price To Book24.26 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.15 X11.42 X
Revenue70.99 M9.43 B
Gross Profit67.01 M27.38 B
EBITDA(15.55 M)3.9 B
Net Income(35.48 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents78.26 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.94 X5.01 X
Total Debt130.23 M5.32 B
Current Ratio2.14 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share(0.24) X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(20.53 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio15.51 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.29) X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(0.06) X4.89 X
Target Price3.0
Number Of Employees13218.84 K
Beta-0.068-0.15
Market Capitalization86.92 M19.03 B
Total Asset107.73 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(720.38 M)9.33 B
Working Capital(71.19 M)1.48 B
Current Asset83.03 M9.34 B
Note: Disposition of 1516 shares by Marino Michael F Iii of OptiNose at 1.15 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

OptiNose Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as OptiNose . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About OptiNose Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell OptiNose? Buying financial instruments such as OptiNose Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having OptiNose in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

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Preferred Stock ETFs Theme
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Preferred Stock ETFs theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Preferred Stock ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether OptiNose offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of OptiNose's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Optinose Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Optinose Stock:
Check out OptiNose Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in OptiNose Stock, please use our How to Invest in OptiNose guide.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Pharmaceuticals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OptiNose. If investors know OptiNose will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OptiNose listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.29)
Revenue Per Share
0.553
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.031
Return On Assets
(0.10)
Return On Equity
(10.51)
The market value of OptiNose is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OptiNose that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OptiNose's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OptiNose's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OptiNose's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OptiNose's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OptiNose's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OptiNose is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OptiNose's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.