Onespan Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

OSPN Stock  USD 18.24  0.23  1.25%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding OneSpan is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of OneSpan's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out OneSpan Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in OneSpan Stock, please use our How to Invest in OneSpan guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as OneSpan and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards OneSpan. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute OneSpan Buy or Sell Advice

The OneSpan recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on OneSpan. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in OneSpan or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute OneSpan's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell OneSpanBuy OneSpan
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

ModestDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Under hypedDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost mirrors the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

InterestedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon OneSpan has a Mean Deviation of 1.9, Semi Deviation of 2.18, Standard Deviation of 2.87, Variance of 8.22, Downside Variance of 5.17 and Semi Variance of 4.75
Our trade recommendations tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on OneSpan and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure OneSpan is not overpriced, please check all OneSpan fundamentals, including its total debt, beta, and the relationship between the gross profit and short ratio . Given that OneSpan has a price to earning of 574.22 X, we recommend you to check out OneSpan market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your recent risk tolerance and investing horizon.

OneSpan Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company reported the previous year's revenue of 235.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (29.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 148.57 M.
OneSpan currently holds about 96.5 M in cash with (10.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.47.
Over 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: OneSpan Inc. Shares Fly 27 percent But Investors Arent Buying For Growth

OneSpan Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of OneSpan's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of OneSpan's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of OneSpan daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use OneSpan price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of OneSpan returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for OneSpan.
Mean Return
0.26
Value At Risk
-3.6
Potential Upside
3.99
Standard Deviation
2.87
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of OneSpan historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

OneSpan Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as OneSpan, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading OneSpan back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Segall Bryant & Hamill2024-09-30
755.2 K
Legion Partners Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
649.6 K
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-06-30
492.8 K
Nuveen Asset Management, Llc2024-06-30
416.1 K
Jpmorgan Chase & Co2024-06-30
398.8 K
Northern Trust Corp2024-09-30
385.9 K
Oberweis Asset Management Inc2024-06-30
370.7 K
Connor Clark & Lunn Inv Mgmt Ltd2024-06-30
360.9 K
Assenagon Asset Management Sa2024-09-30
337.8 K
Vanguard Group Inc2024-09-30
3.5 M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
3.5 M
Note, although OneSpan's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

OneSpan Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(5.4M)6.7M2.2M(2.2M)(3.3M)(3.1M)
Change In Cash7.6M4.1M(25.0M)33.1M(53.8M)(51.2M)
Free Cash Flow10.8M11.8M(4.9M)(10.8M)(23.3M)(22.1M)
Depreciation11.5M12.0M8.9M7.1M6.5M5.4M
Other Non Cash Items69K118K13K(11.0M)3.3M3.4M
Capital Expenditures7.5M3.1M2.2M5.0M12.5M13.2M
Net Income8.8M(5.5M)(30.6M)(14.4M)(29.8M)(28.3M)
End Period Cash Flow85.1M89.2M64.2M97.3M43.5M54.9M
Change To Netincome1.5M3.9M7.2M(519K)(596.9K)(567.0K)
Change Receivables(12.0M)(3.4M)6.8M2.0M2.4M2.5M
Investments(2.4M)(1.4M)(8.8M)46.6M(1.5M)(1.4M)

OneSpan Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to OneSpan or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that OneSpan's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a OneSpan stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.19
σ
Overall volatility
2.90
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

OneSpan Volatility Alert

OneSpan currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.04 and Jensen Alpha of 0.1. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure OneSpan's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact OneSpan's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

OneSpan Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing OneSpan's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze OneSpan's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between OneSpan and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as OneSpan or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of OneSpan's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing OneSpan by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare OneSpan to competition
FundamentalsOneSpanPeer Average
Return On Equity0.15-0.31
Return On Asset0.0972-0.14
Profit Margin0.12 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.21 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation635.07 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding37.99 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders6.40 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions93.86 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.61 M4.71 M
Price To Earning574.22 X28.72 X
Price To Book3.62 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.86 X11.42 X
Revenue235.11 M9.43 B
Gross Profit148.57 M27.38 B
EBITDA(5.08 M)3.9 B
Net Income(29.8 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents96.5 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share2.47 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.82 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.06 %48.70 %
Current Ratio2.16 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share5.13 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations(10.73 M)971.22 M
Short Ratio4.13 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share0.74 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth(19.30) X4.89 X
Target Price17.33
Number Of Employees50718.84 K
Beta0.75-0.15
Market Capitalization701.7 M19.03 B
Total Asset289.19 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings98.94 M9.33 B
Working Capital31.51 M1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 3643 shares by Lara Mataac of OneSpan subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

OneSpan Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as OneSpan . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About OneSpan Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell OneSpan? Buying financial instruments such as OneSpan Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having OneSpan in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Construction Materials Thematic Idea Now

Construction Materials
Construction Materials Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Construction Materials theme has 61 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Construction Materials Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether OneSpan offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of OneSpan's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Onespan Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Onespan Stock:
Check out OneSpan Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
To learn how to invest in OneSpan Stock, please use our How to Invest in OneSpan guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Systems Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of OneSpan. If investors know OneSpan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about OneSpan listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.27
Earnings Share
0.74
Revenue Per Share
6.356
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0972
The market value of OneSpan is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of OneSpan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of OneSpan's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is OneSpan's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because OneSpan's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect OneSpan's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between OneSpan's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OneSpan is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OneSpan's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.