Southern Michigan Bancorp Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

SOMC Stock  USD 19.25  0.25  1.28%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Southern Michigan Bancorp is 'Sell'. Macroaxis provides Southern Michigan buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding SOMC positions.
  
Check out Southern Michigan Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Southern and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Southern Michigan Bancorp. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Southern Michigan Buy or Sell Advice

The Southern recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Southern Michigan Bancorp. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Southern Michigan Bancorp or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Southern Michigan's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Southern MichiganBuy Southern Michigan
Sell

Market Performance

SolidDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

Fairly ValuedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves indifferently to market movesDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon Southern Michigan Bancorp has a Mean Deviation of 0.5546, Semi Deviation of 0.4093, Standard Deviation of 0.8198, Variance of 0.6721, Downside Variance of 1.1 and Semi Variance of 0.1675
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Southern Michigan and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Southern Michigan Bancorp is not overpriced, please validate all Southern Michigan fundamentals, including its earnings per share, and the relationship between the cash per share and total asset . Given that Southern Michigan Bancorp has a price to earning of 6.23 X, we advise you to double-check Southern Michigan Bancorp market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Southern Michigan Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Southern Michigan's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Southern Michigan's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Southern Michigan daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Southern Michigan Bancorp price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Southern Michigan returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Southern Michigan.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-1.28
Potential Upside
1.32
Standard Deviation
0.82
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Southern Michigan historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Southern Michigan Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Southern Michigan or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Southern Michigan's price will be affected by overall pink sheet market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Southern pink sheet's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.0011
σ
Overall volatility
0.82
Ir
Information ratio 0.17

Southern Michigan Volatility Alert

Southern Michigan Bancorp has relatively low volatility with skewness of 0.38 and kurtosis of 3.17. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Southern Michigan's pink sheet risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Southern Michigan's pink sheet price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Southern Michigan Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Southern Michigan's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Southern Michigan's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Southern Michigan and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Southern Michigan or determine the pink sheets which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Southern Michigan's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Southern Michigan by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Southern Michigan to competition
FundamentalsSouthern MichiganPeer Average
Return On Equity0.14-0.31
Return On Asset0.0104-0.14
Profit Margin0.29 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.34 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation53.47 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding4.54 M571.82 M
Price To Earning6.23 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.09 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.07 X11.42 X
Revenue43.52 M9.43 B
Gross Profit40.83 M27.38 B
Net Income11.76 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents89.56 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share19.70 X5.01 X
Total Debt57.03 M5.32 B
Book Value Per Share17.97 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations16.51 M971.22 M
Earnings Per Share2.55 X3.12 X
Number Of Employees2018.84 K
Beta0.33-0.15
Market Capitalization93.17 M19.03 B
Total Asset528.86 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings31.05 M9.33 B
Z Score0.68.72
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return2.47 %
Last Dividend Paid0.51

Southern Michigan Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Southern . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Southern Michigan Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Southern Michigan Bancorp? Buying financial instruments such as Southern Pink Sheet isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Southern Michigan in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Investor Favorites Thematic Idea Now

Investor Favorites
Investor Favorites Theme
Macroaxis most traded equities with largest long positions over the last 2 years. The Investor Favorites theme has 21 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Investor Favorites Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
View All  Next Launch

Other Information on Investing in Southern Pink Sheet

Southern Michigan financial ratios help investors to determine whether Southern Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Southern with respect to the benefits of owning Southern Michigan security.