Toyota Motor Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

TM Stock  USD 170.63  0.91  0.54%   
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Toyota Motor is 'Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Toyota's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Toyota Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Toyota and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Toyota Motor. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in population.

Execute Toyota Buy or Sell Advice

The Toyota recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Toyota Motor. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Toyota Motor or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Toyota's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell ToyotaBuy Toyota
Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Possible ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Toyota Motor has a Mean Deviation of 1.13, Standard Deviation of 1.48 and Variance of 2.18
Macroaxis provides recommendation on Toyota Motor to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Toyota Motor. Our trade recommendation engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Toyota Motor is not overpriced, please validate all Toyota fundamentals, including its price to earnings to growth, and the relationship between the debt to equity and retained earnings . Given that Toyota Motor has a price to book of 0.99 X, we advise you to double-check Toyota Motor market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Toyota Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Toyota Motor generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Toyota Motor is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Are Investors Undervaluing Toyota Boshoku Corporation By 47

Toyota Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Toyota's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Toyota's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Toyota daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Toyota Motor price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Toyota returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Toyota.
Mean Return
-0.13
Value At Risk
-3.07
Potential Upside
2.19
Standard Deviation
1.48
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Toyota historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Toyota Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Toyota, soars without any apparent reason. This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Toyota Motor back and forth among themselves. Companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in this term and can influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Natixis Advisors, Llc.2024-06-30
324.8 K
Wilkinson Global Asset Management Llc2024-09-30
305.7 K
Stifel Financial Corp2024-06-30
290.4 K
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-09-30
257.4 K
First Trust Advisors L.p.2024-06-30
230.8 K
American Century Companies Inc2024-09-30
221 K
Atlantic Trust Group, Llc2024-06-30
202.1 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
157.3 K
Envestnet Asset Management Inc2024-09-30
152.8 K
Fisher Asset Management, Llc2024-09-30
6.8 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2024-06-30
3.7 M
Note, although Toyota's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Toyota Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(114.1B)(242.8B)(725.3B)(350.6B)(207.5B)(197.2B)
Change In Cash705.7B1.0T1.0T1.4T1.9T2.0T
Free Cash Flow(4.5B)(1.0T)(107.6B)(750.8B)(842.0B)(799.9B)
Depreciation1.6T1.6T1.8T2.0T2.1T1.2T
Other Non Cash Items(35.5B)(236.9B)(959.1B)(1.3T)(871.8B)(828.2B)
Dividends Paid630.0B625.5B709.9B728.0B880.2B924.2B
Capital Expenditures3.6T3.8T3.8T3.7T5.0T5.3T
Net Income2.1T2.3T2.9T2.5T5.1T5.3T
End Period Cash Flow4.4T5.1T6.1T7.5T9.4T9.9T
Change To Netincome143.1B222.8B(98.8B)181.3B208.5B218.9B
Investments233.4B(667.3B)(577.5B)(1.6T)(5.0T)(4.7T)
Net Borrowings723.0B1.6T3.2T(1.3T)(1.5T)(1.4T)

Toyota Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Toyota or Automobiles sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Toyota's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Toyota stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.62
σ
Overall volatility
1.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Toyota Volatility Alert

Toyota Motor exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.12 and kurtosis of 0.43. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Toyota's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Toyota's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Toyota Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Toyota's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Toyota's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Toyota and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Toyota or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Toyota's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Toyota by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Toyota to competition
FundamentalsToyotaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.13-0.31
Return On Asset0.038-0.14
Profit Margin0.09 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.10 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation374.52 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding1.31 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions1.57 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted741.06 K4.71 M
Price To Earning11.34 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.99 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0 X11.42 X
Revenue45.1 T9.43 B
Gross Profit5.97 T27.38 B
EBITDA9.12 T3.9 B
Net Income5.07 T570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents7.52 T2.7 B
Total Debt36.56 T5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.03 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.06 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2,614 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations4.21 T971.22 M
Short Ratio1.86 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share20.71 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.54 X4.89 X
Target Price231.94
Number Of Employees384.16 K18.84 K
Beta0.4-0.15
Market Capitalization222.84 B19.03 B
Total Asset90.11 T29.47 B
Retained Earnings32.8 T9.33 B
Working Capital5.54 T1.48 B
Current Asset18.21 T9.34 B
Current Liabilities16.12 T7.9 B

Toyota Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Toyota . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Toyota Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Toyota Motor? Buying financial instruments such as Toyota Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Toyota in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Housewares Thematic Idea Now

Housewares
Housewares Theme
Companies making housewares accessories and providing houseware services. The Housewares theme has 39 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Housewares Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Toyota Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Automobile Manufacturers space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toyota. If investors know Toyota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toyota listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.55)
Dividend Share
85
Earnings Share
20.71
Revenue Per Share
2.2 K
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
The market value of Toyota Motor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toyota that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toyota's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toyota's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toyota's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toyota's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toyota's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toyota is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toyota's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.