Vermilion Energy Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| VET Stock | CAD 14.37 0.07 0.49% |
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Vermilion Energy is 'Strong Sell'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Vermilion Energy's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
Check out Vermilion Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Vermilion Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vermilion and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Vermilion Energy. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
Vermilion |
Execute Vermilion Energy Buy or Sell Advice
The Vermilion recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vermilion Energy. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vermilion Energy or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vermilion Energy's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Not too volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Below Average | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Not Available | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Inapplicable | Details |
Vermilion Energy Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Vermilion Energy has accumulated 968.08 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.59, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vermilion Energy has a current ratio of 0.54, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vermilion Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vermilion Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vermilion Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vermilion to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vermilion Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 1.93 B. Net Loss for the year was (237.59 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.85 B. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Royce Associates LP Invests 6 Million in Vermilion Energy Inc. - MarketBeat |
Vermilion Energy Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Vermilion Energy's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vermilion Energy's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vermilion Energy daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vermilion Energy price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vermilion Energy returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vermilion Energy.
| Mean Return | 0.11 | Value At Risk | -3.02 | Potential Upside | 3.65 | Standard Deviation | 2.22 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vermilion Energy historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Vermilion Energy Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 2.2M | (22.1M) | (876K) | 7.8M | 127.6M | 134.0M | |
| Free Cash Flow | 300.3M | 133.0M | 459.7M | 1.3B | 292.1M | 154.4M | |
| Depreciation | 721.4M | 2.3B | (484.9M) | 577.1M | 790.8M | 830.3M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 14.1M | 21.9M | (1.4M) | (625.9M) | 679.9M | 713.9M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 523.2M | 367.2M | 374.8M | 551.8M | 711.4M | 747.0M | |
| Net Income | 32.8M | (1.5B) | 1.1B | 1.3B | (237.6M) | (225.7M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 29.0M | 6.9M | 6.0M | 13.8M | 141.5M | 74.7M | |
| Dividends Paid | 330.2M | 391.5M | 117.7M | 32.7M | 62.1M | 59.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 188.5M | (2.9M) | (363.4M) | (644.0M) | (579.6M) | (550.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 148.0M | 1.4B | 430.0M | (158.9M) | (182.8M) | (173.6M) | |
| Investments | (618.7M) | (401.4M) | (469.7M) | (1.1B) | (576.4M) | (605.3M) |
Vermilion Energy Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vermilion Energy or Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vermilion Energy's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vermilion stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Vermilion Energy Volatility Alert
Vermilion Energy currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of -0.01 and Jensen Alpha of 0.09. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vermilion Energy's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vermilion Energy's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Vermilion Energy Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Vermilion Energy's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vermilion Energy's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vermilion Energy and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vermilion Energy or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vermilion Energy's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vermilion Energy by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Vermilion Energy to competition |
| Fundamentals | Vermilion Energy | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.25 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0563 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.46) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.23 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 3.05 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 155.1 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 0.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 46.31 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.39 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 13.76 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.77 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 1.23 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.93 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 2.85 B | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 519.55 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (237.59 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 675 K | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 968.08 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.59 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 0.55 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 18.53 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.02 B | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 8.30 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (5.08) X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.40 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 18.27 | |
| Number Of Employees | 740 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 2.58 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.03 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 6.24 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (1.26 B) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 127.44 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 284.78 M | 9.34 B |
Vermilion Energy Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vermilion . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Vermilion Energy Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Vermilion Energy? Buying financial instruments such as Vermilion Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
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Check out Vermilion Energy Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. To learn how to invest in Vermilion Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vermilion Energy guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.