Village Farms International Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VFF Stock  USD 0.79  0.01  1.25%   
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Village Farms International is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides Village Farms buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding VFF positions.
  
Check out Village Farms Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Village and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Village Farms International. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.

Execute Village Farms Buy or Sell Advice

The Village recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Village Farms International. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Village Farms International or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Village Farms' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Village FarmsBuy Village Farms
Strong Sell

Market Performance

Very WeakDetails

Volatility

DangerousDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

About AverageDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Moves slightly opposite to the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

Strong BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Village Farms International has a Mean Deviation of 2.18, Standard Deviation of 3.41 and Variance of 11.66
We provide advice to complement the current expert consensus on Village Farms. Our dynamic recommendation engine harnesses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the firm's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure Village Farms Intern is not overpriced, please validate all Village Farms fundamentals, including its total debt, number of employees, and the relationship between the ebitda and cash flow from operations . As Village Farms Intern appears to be a penny stock we also recommend to double-check its number of shares shorted numbers.

Village Farms Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Village Farms Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Village Farms Intern has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Village Farms Intern has high historical volatility and very poor performance
The company reported the last year's revenue of 285.6 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (31.8 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 31.47 M.
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Prohibitionist Group Denies Collusion Allegations Ahead Of DEA Cannabis Rescheduling Hearing

Village Farms Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Village Farms' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Village Farms' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Village Farms daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Village Farms International price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Village Farms returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Village Farms.
Mean Return
-0.37
Value At Risk
-6.02
Potential Upside
3.95
Standard Deviation
3.41
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Village Farms historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Village Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Baader Bank Inc2024-09-30
450 K
Two Sigma Investments Llc2024-09-30
386.8 K
Gsa Capital Partners Llp2024-09-30
283 K
Formidable Asset Management Llc2024-06-30
224.8 K
Susquehanna International Group, Llp2024-06-30
223.5 K
Squarepoint Ops Llc2024-06-30
197.6 K
Jb Capital Partners Lp2024-09-30
180 K
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
178.6 K
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-09-30
152.3 K
Advisorshares Investments, Llc2024-09-30
3.3 M
Tidal Investments Llc.2024-09-30
2.4 M
Note, although Village Farms' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Village Farms Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change In Cash69K13.7M33.0M(37.0M)13.6M14.3M
Free Cash Flow(16.7M)2.2M(61.2M)(34.2M)(1.2M)(1.3M)
Depreciation7.4M6.8M12.7M13.1M16.1M8.3M
Other Non Cash Items(28.2M)(25.5M)(1.2M)56.6M16.0M16.8M
Capital Expenditures2.3M3.5M21.7M14.3M6.5M6.8M
Net Income2.3M11.6M(9.1M)(101.1M)(31.8M)(30.2M)
End Period Cash Flow12.0M25.7M58.7M21.7M35.3M37.1M
Change To Inventory9.0M3.0M(16.8M)(14.6M)(5.3M)(5.0M)
Net Borrowings(3.5M)4.3M10.2M(2.4M)(2.7M)(2.6M)
Change To Netincome(29.5M)(26.0M)3.1M59.6M68.5M72.0M
Investments(14.6M)(11.9M)(20K)(734K)(4.9M)(5.2M)

Village Farms Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Village Farms or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Village Farms' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Village stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.73
σ
Overall volatility
3.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Village Farms Volatility Alert

Village Farms International exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.59 and kurtosis of 5.26. Village Farms International is a potential penny stock. Although Village Farms may be in fact a good instrument to invest, many penny stocks are speculative in nature and are subject to artificial price hype. Please make sure you totally understand the upside potential and downside risk of investing in Village Farms International. We encourage investors to look for signals such as email spams, message board hypes, claims of breakthroughs, volume upswings, sudden news releases, promotions that are not reported, or demotions released before SEC filings. Please also check biographies and work history of current and past company officers before investing in high volatility instruments, penny stocks, or equities with microcap classification. You can indeed make money on Village instrument if you perfectly time your entry and exit. However, remember that penny stocks that have been the subject of artificial hype usually unable to maintain their increased share price for more than just a few days. The price of a promoted high volatility instrument will almost always revert back. The only way to increase shareholder value is through legitimate performance backed up by solid fundamentals.

Village Farms Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Village Farms' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Village Farms' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Village Farms and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Village Farms or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Village Farms' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Village Farms by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Village Farms to competition
FundamentalsVillage FarmsPeer Average
Return On Equity-0.16-0.31
Return On Asset-0.0232-0.14
Profit Margin(0.15) %(1.27) %
Operating Margin(0.01) %(5.51) %
Current Valuation118.87 M16.62 B
Shares Outstanding112.34 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders10.32 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions16.77 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted2.53 M4.71 M
Price To Earning11.63 X28.72 X
Price To Book0.32 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.27 X11.42 X
Revenue285.6 M9.43 B
Gross Profit31.47 M27.38 B
EBITDA(6.8 M)3.9 B
Net Income(31.8 M)570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents18.16 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share0.20 X5.01 X
Total Debt65.5 M5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.20 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.82 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share2.44 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations5.32 M971.22 M
Short Ratio4.73 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share(0.45) X3.12 X
Target Price2.29
Number Of Employees1.4 K18.84 K
Beta2.22-0.15
Market Capitalization88.38 M19.03 B
Total Asset466.99 M29.47 B
Retained Earnings(106.17 M)9.33 B
Working Capital79.61 M1.48 B
Net Asset466.99 M
Note: Insider Trading [view details]

Village Farms Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Village . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Village Farms Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Village Farms International? Buying financial instruments such as Village Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Village Farms in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Processed Foods Thematic Idea Now

Processed Foods
Processed Foods Theme
Companies producing and distributing processed foods to retail sectors. The Processed Foods theme has 46 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Processed Foods Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Village Farms Intern is a strong investment it is important to analyze Village Farms' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Village Farms' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Village Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Village Farms Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Agricultural Products & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Village Farms. If investors know Village will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Village Farms listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
Earnings Share
(0.45)
Revenue Per Share
2.958
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.199
Return On Assets
(0.02)
The market value of Village Farms Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Village that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Village Farms' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Village Farms' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Village Farms' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Village Farms' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Village Farms' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Village Farms is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Village Farms' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.