Village Farms International Stock Price Prediction

VFF Stock  USD 0.79  0.01  1.25%   
As of 30th of November 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Village Farms' share price is approaching 40. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Village Farms, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

40

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Village Farms' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Village Farms and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Village Farms' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Village Farms International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Village Farms' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.78)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.02)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.08)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.01
Wall Street Target Price
2.29
Using Village Farms hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Village Farms International from the perspective of Village Farms response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Village Farms to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Village because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Village Farms after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Village Farms Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.024.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.854.29
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.641.802.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.02-0.02-0.02
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Village Farms. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Village Farms' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Village Farms' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Village Farms Intern.

Village Farms After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Village Farms at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Village Farms or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Village Farms, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Village Farms Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Village Farms' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Village Farms' historical news coverage. Village Farms' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 4.23, respectively. We have considered Village Farms' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.79
0.79
After-hype Price
4.23
Upside
Village Farms is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Village Farms Intern is based on 3 months time horizon.

Village Farms Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Village Farms is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Village Farms backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Village Farms, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
3.44
 0.00  
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.79
0.79
0.00 
34,400  
Notes

Village Farms Hype Timeline

On the 30th of November Village Farms Intern is traded for 0.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Village is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. %. The volatility of related hype on Village Farms is about 3385.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.82. About 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.32. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Village Farms Intern recorded a loss per share of 0.45. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of June 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Village Farms Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Village Farms Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Village Farms' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Village Farms' future price movements. Getting to know how Village Farms' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Village Farms may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SHMPNaturalShrimp 0.00 0 per month 9.82  0.04  25.00 (20.00) 61.90 
AGRIAgriFORCE Growing Systems(0)4 per month 0.00 (0.17) 7.05 (9.75) 37.62 
APPHAppHarvest(0.01)3 per month 0.00 (0.15) 8.57 (13.64) 31.70 
AASZFAtlantic Sapphire ASA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 37.50 (36.36) 151.41 
FDPFresh Del Monte 0.29 10 per month 0.94  0.07  2.30 (1.99) 12.38 
LMNRLimoneira Co(0.65)9 per month 1.67  0.03  3.82 (3.01) 10.68 
LNDBrasilagro Adr(0.14)3 per month 0.00 (0.21) 2.16 (2.42) 6.34 
ALCOAlico Inc(0.18)5 per month 0.00 (0.10) 4.76 (3.23) 13.25 
BGBunge Limited 2.10 12 per month 0.00 (0.19) 1.67 (2.26) 9.04 
AGRIWAgriFORCE Growing Systems(0)5 per month 23.28  0.14  86.21 (41.82) 161.84 
LOCLLocal Bounti Corp 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.16) 4.78 (6.90) 26.64 
KALRQKalera Public Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AFRIForafric Global PLC(0.17)1 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.22 (2.16) 7.72 
AQBAquaBounty Technologies(0.04)9 per month 4.27  0.03  8.18 (5.98) 34.19 
SANWSW Seed Company 0.18 9 per month 7.14  0.07  26.35 (12.31) 72.44 
AGROAdecoagro SA 0.22 7 per month 1.54 (0.06) 1.97 (2.68) 8.94 

Village Farms Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Village price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Village using various technical indicators. When you analyze Village charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Village Farms Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Village Farms stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Village Farms International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Village Farms based on analysis of Village Farms hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Village Farms's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Village Farms's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
PTB Ratio0.270.26
Dividend Yield0.04270.0406

Story Coverage note for Village Farms

The number of cover stories for Village Farms depends on current market conditions and Village Farms' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Village Farms is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Village Farms' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Village Farms Short Properties

Village Farms' future price predictability will typically decrease when Village Farms' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Village Farms International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Village Farms' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Village Farms' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding108.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments30.3 M

Complementary Tools for Village Stock analysis

When running Village Farms' price analysis, check to measure Village Farms' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Village Farms is operating at the current time. Most of Village Farms' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Village Farms' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Village Farms' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Village Farms to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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