Correlation Between First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between First Citizens BancShares and PacWest Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in First Citizens with a short position of PacWest Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp

0.41
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between First and PacWest is 0.41. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding First Citizens BancShares and PacWest Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on PacWest Bancorp and First Citizens is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on First Citizens BancShares are associated (or correlated) with PacWest Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of PacWest Bancorp has no effect on the direction of First Citizens i.e., First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp

Assuming the 90 days horizon First Citizens BancShares is expected to generate 0.29 times more return on investment than PacWest Bancorp. However, First Citizens BancShares is 3.43 times less risky than PacWest Bancorp. It trades about 0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. PacWest Bancorp is currently generating about 0.01 per unit of risk. If you would invest  73,966  in First Citizens BancShares on September 4, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  148,355  from holding First Citizens BancShares or generate 200.57% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy30.71%
ValuesDaily Returns

First Citizens BancShares  vs.  PacWest Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
First Citizens BancShares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

5 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Modest
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Citizens BancShares are ranked lower than 5 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat abnormal fundamental indicators, First Citizens sustained solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
PacWest Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days PacWest Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of fairly stable fundamental indicators, PacWest Bancorp is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price fuss, may contribute to near-short-term losses for the sophisticated investors.

First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite First Citizens and PacWest Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if First Citizens position performs unexpectedly, PacWest Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in PacWest Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in PacWest Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind First Citizens BancShares and PacWest Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.

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