Correlation Between Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Loncor Resources with a short position of NovaGold Resources. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources.

Diversification Opportunities for Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources

-0.44
  Correlation Coefficient

Very good diversification

The 3 months correlation between Loncor and NovaGold is -0.44. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NovaGold Resources and Loncor Resources is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Loncor Resources are associated (or correlated) with NovaGold Resources. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NovaGold Resources has no effect on the direction of Loncor Resources i.e., Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources

Assuming the 90 days horizon Loncor Resources is expected to generate 1.0 times more return on investment than NovaGold Resources. However, Loncor Resources is 1.0 times more volatile than NovaGold Resources. It trades about 0.15 of its potential returns per unit of risk. NovaGold Resources is currently generating about -0.07 per unit of risk. If you would invest  38.00  in Loncor Resources on September 23, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  12.00  from holding Loncor Resources or generate 31.58% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Loncor Resources  vs.  NovaGold Resources

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Loncor Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

11 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Loncor Resources are ranked lower than 11 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, Loncor Resources displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
NovaGold Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain very healthy which may send shares a bit higher in January 2025. The recent disarray may also be a sign of long period up-swing for the firm investors.

Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources

The main advantage of trading using opposite Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Loncor Resources position performs unexpectedly, NovaGold Resources can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NovaGold Resources will offset losses from the drop in NovaGold Resources' long position.
The idea behind Loncor Resources and NovaGold Resources pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.

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