Correlation Between MOL PLC and Galp Energia

Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both MOL PLC and Galp Energia at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining MOL PLC and Galp Energia into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.

By analyzing existing cross correlation between MOL PLC ADR and Galp Energia SGPS, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on MOL PLC and Galp Energia and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in MOL PLC with a short position of Galp Energia. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of MOL PLC and Galp Energia.

Diversification Opportunities for MOL PLC and Galp Energia

0.62

Correlation Coefficient

MOL PLC  Galp Energia

Poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between MOL and Galp is 0.62. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MOL PLC ADR and Galp Energia SGPS in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Galp Energia SGPS and MOL PLC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on MOL PLC ADR are associated (or correlated) with Galp Energia. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Galp Energia SGPS has no effect on the direction of MOL PLC i.e., MOL PLC and Galp Energia go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between MOL PLC and Galp Energia

Assuming the 90 days horizon MOL PLC ADR is expected to under-perform the Galp Energia. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, MOL PLC ADR is 1.87 times less risky than Galp Energia. The pink sheet trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Galp Energia SGPS is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,883  in Galp Energia SGPS on September 16, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (107.00) from holding Galp Energia SGPS or give up 5.68% of portfolio value over 90 days.

Time Period	3 Months [change]
Direction	Moves Together
Strength	Significant
Accuracy	100.0%
Values	Daily Returns

MOL PLC ADR  vs.  Galp Energia SGPS

MOL PLC ADR

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days MOL PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Galp Energia SGPS

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

Very Weak

Over the last 90 days Galp Energia SGPS has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable technical and fundamental indicators, Galp Energia is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Pair Trading with MOL PLC and Galp Energia

The main advantage of trading using opposite MOL PLC and Galp Energia positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if MOL PLC position performs unexpectedly, Galp Energia can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Galp Energia will offset losses from the drop in Galp Energia's long position.

The idea behind MOL PLC ADR and Galp Energia SGPS pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.

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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.