Correlation Between MOL PLC and Origin Energy

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both MOL PLC and Origin Energy at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining MOL PLC and Origin Energy into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between MOL PLC ADR and Origin Energy Ltd, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on MOL PLC and Origin Energy and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in MOL PLC with a short position of Origin Energy. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of MOL PLC and Origin Energy.

Diversification Opportunities for MOL PLC and Origin Energy

-0.53
  Correlation Coefficient

Excellent diversification

The 3 months correlation between MOL and Origin is -0.53. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MOL PLC ADR and Origin Energy Ltd in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Origin Energy and MOL PLC is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on MOL PLC ADR are associated (or correlated) with Origin Energy. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Origin Energy has no effect on the direction of MOL PLC i.e., MOL PLC and Origin Energy go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between MOL PLC and Origin Energy

Assuming the 90 days horizon MOL PLC ADR is expected to under-perform the Origin Energy. But the pink sheet apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, MOL PLC ADR is 1.13 times less risky than Origin Energy. The pink sheet trades about -0.08 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Origin Energy Ltd is currently generating about 0.05 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  625.00  in Origin Energy Ltd on September 15, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  25.00  from holding Origin Energy Ltd or generate 4.0% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Against 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

MOL PLC ADR  vs.  Origin Energy Ltd

 Performance 
       Timeline  
MOL PLC ADR 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days MOL PLC ADR has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of latest weak performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.
Origin Energy 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

3 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Insignificant
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Origin Energy Ltd are ranked lower than 3 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong technical and fundamental indicators, Origin Energy is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

MOL PLC and Origin Energy Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with MOL PLC and Origin Energy

The main advantage of trading using opposite MOL PLC and Origin Energy positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if MOL PLC position performs unexpectedly, Origin Energy can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Origin Energy will offset losses from the drop in Origin Energy's long position.
The idea behind MOL PLC ADR and Origin Energy Ltd pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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